Stock Ratings / Financials / OPEN / earnings

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Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.80 -5.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.85B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OPEN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OPEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Opendoor Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: OPEN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.80 (-5.26% 1D, market cap $1.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPEN ranks #957 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OPEN compare to GTY and NMRK in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), OPEN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and NMRK (Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPEN?

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Per OPEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801169), Opendoor Technologies Inc generated $4.37B in revenue (-15.2% YoY), -$1.30B in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78 (-1.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 23.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OPEN SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.7% FCF Margin ($1.04B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.09-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.05-5.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.93-6.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.80-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OPEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OPEN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.52) and Max Pain ($1.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OPEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.23 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OPEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 37/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -15.2%

Model Bullish Setup (37/100)Model Risk Weight (63/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$4.37B	-$1.30B	$1.04B	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$5.15B	-$392.0M	-$620.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$6.95B	-$275.0M	$2.34B	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OPEN)

✓Walkthrough of OPEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OPEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $1.91H $1.91L $1.80C $1.80VOL 32.89M

RES: $2.02SUP: $1.54SMA50: $2.52SMA200: $4.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OPEN Butterfly Map → + Track OPEN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPEN)

Financials Rank #957 of 1096 ⚔️ GTY vs OPEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OPEN vs. GTY, NMRK, BXDC, EFC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) ranks #957 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #442 by equity capitalization ($1.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFC leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with OPEN at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OPEN ACTIVE Opendoor Technologies Inc	D-	37/100	—	—	-35.0%	-5.26%	$1.85B	Benchmark Subject
GTY Getty Realty Corporation	D+	58/100	23.8x	—	9.4%	-0.25%	$1.88B	/gty-vs-open →
NMRK Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	16.3x	—	9.7%	+1.23%	$2.06B	/nmrk-vs-open →
BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-2.90%	$1.63B	/bxdc-vs-open →
EFC Ellington Financial Inc.	D-	36/100	10.1x	—	8.2%	-3.55%	$1.52B	/efc-vs-open →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001801169

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.37B (-15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.15B , and -37.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.30B, operating cash flow of $1.05B, and free cash flow of $1.04B (+267.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPEN closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.37B	-$1.30B	$1.05B	$1.04B	$2.41B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.15B	-$392.0M	-$595.0M	-$620.0M	$3.13B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.95B	-$275.0M	$2.34B	$2.34B	—	—

3. OPEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OPEN compare to GTY and NMRK in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPEN?

Where is OPEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPEN last traded at $1.80 (-5.26% on volume of 31,961,125 shares), positioning the stock -28.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.52) and -57.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.19). Across its 52-week range of $1.76 to $9.45, OPEN sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.57 to $2.03).

OPEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OPEN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is OPEN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for OPEN, spanning a range between $1.57 and $2.03.

Direct Sub-Reports: OPEN RQD Cockpit OPEN 12M Forecast OPEN Earnings & Move OPEN Dividends & DRIP OPEN Insiders & 13F OPEN Whale Options OPEN Profit Sankey OPEN News & Why