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Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.38 -5.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.24

Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.06B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.24 (-1.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 5.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NMRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NMRK SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($142.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$12.12-2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$11.86-2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$11.52-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$11.38+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NMRK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NMRK faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.30) or 200D SMA ($14.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.69) toward Bear Floor ($9.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NMRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NMRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

41.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE

L: $11$11.38H: $18

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on NMRK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

9.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (57)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NMRK

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NMRK Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NMRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.40%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $11.38H $11.58L $11.15C $11.38VOL 3.70M

RES: $15.95SUP: $14.48SMA50: $13.30SMA200: $14.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NMRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NMRK Butterfly Map → + Track NMRK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NMRK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NMRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NMRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NMRK)

Financials Rank #349 of 1096 ⚔️ GTY vs NMRK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NMRK vs. GTY, OPEN, UE, BXDC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) ranks #349 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #422 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NMRK leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NMRK at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NMRK ACTIVE Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)	C	64/100	16.3x	—	9.7%	-5.64%	$2.06B	Benchmark Subject
GTY Getty Realty Corporation	B	74/100	23.8x	—	9.4%	+1.89%	$1.88B	/gty-vs-nmrk →
OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.52%	$1.85B	/open-vs-nmrk →
UE Urban Edge Properties of	B-	70/100	26.6x	—	6.8%	+3.42%	$2.48B	/ue-vs-nmrk →
BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	—	+0.37%	$1.63B	/bxdc-vs-nmrk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001690680

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) reported GAAP revenue of $2.77B (+21.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B , and +33.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $126.2M, operating cash flow of $172.0M, and free cash flow of $142.6M (+444.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NMRK closed FY2025 with $5.02B in total assets against $671.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.77B	$126.2M	$172.0M	$142.6M	$5.02B	$671.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.27B	$85.5M	-$9.9M	-$41.4M	$4.71B	$670.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.07B	$62.4M	-$266.0M	-$266.0M	—	—

3. NMRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NMRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: NMRK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $11.38 (-5.64% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NMRK ranks #349 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NMRK compare to GTY and OPEN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), NMRK carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NMRK leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMRK?

Per NMRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001690680), Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.77B in revenue (+21.9% YoY), $126.2M in net income, and $142.6M in free cash flow against $5.02B in total assets and $671.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NMRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NMRK last traded at $11.38 (-5.64% on volume of 3,111,004 shares), positioning the stock -14.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.30) and -23.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.85). Across its 52-week range of $11.13 to $18.25, NMRK sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($10.41 to $12.35).

NMRK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NMRK stock right now?

Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is NMRK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NMRK's 12-month base price target is $11.69 (range $9.12 to $19.16), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NMRK RQD Cockpit NMRK 12M Forecast NMRK Earnings & Move NMRK Dividends & DRIP NMRK Insiders & 13F NMRK Whale Options NMRK Profit Sankey NMRK News & Why