MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why NMRK Stock dropped -5.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.38 -5.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.24
Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.06B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.24 (-1.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 5.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NMRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NMRK SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($142.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$12.12-2.1% Next Q
72
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$11.86-2.9% Next Q
69
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$11.52-1.2% Next Q
67
CurrentGrade C$11.38+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NMRK Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NMRK faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.30) or 200D SMA ($14.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.69) toward Bear Floor ($9.12).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NMRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NMRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NMRK Stock dropped -5.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) dropped -5.64% to $11.38, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($11.13 – $18.25). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($11.13 – $18.25) with RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $11.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $142.6M annual free cash flow.
Live NMRK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NMRK Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NMRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.40%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $11.38H $11.58L $11.15C $11.38VOL 3.70M
RES: $15.95SUP: $14.48SMA50: $13.30SMA200: $14.85
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NMRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +21.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NMRK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NMRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NMRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NMRK)
Financials Rank #349 of 1096
⚔️ GTY vs NMRK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NMRK vs. GTY, OPEN, UE, BXDC)
Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) ranks #349 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #422 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NMRK leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NMRK at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMRK
ACTIVE
Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) | C | 64/100 | 16.3x | — | 9.7% | -5.64% | $2.06B | Benchmark Subject |
| GTY Getty Realty Corporation | B | 74/100 | 23.8x | — | 9.4% | +1.89% | $1.88B | /gty-vs-nmrk → |
| OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.52% | $1.85B | /open-vs-nmrk → |
| UE Urban Edge Properties of | B- | 70/100 | 26.6x | — | 6.8% | +3.42% | $2.48B | /ue-vs-nmrk → |
| BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +0.37% | $1.63B | /bxdc-vs-nmrk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001690680In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NMRK) reported GAAP revenue of $2.77B (+21.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B , and +33.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $126.2M, operating cash flow of $172.0M, and free cash flow of $142.6M (+444.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NMRK closed FY2025 with $5.02B in total assets against $671.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.77B | $126.2M | $172.0M | $142.6M | $5.02B | $671.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.27B | $85.5M | -$9.9M | -$41.4M | $4.71B | $670.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.07B | $62.4M | -$266.0M | -$266.0M | — | — |
3. NMRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NMRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: NMRK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $11.38 (-5.64% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NMRK ranks #349 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NMRK compare to GTY and OPEN in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), NMRK carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NMRK leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMRK?
Per NMRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001690680), Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.77B in revenue (+21.9% YoY), $126.2M in net income, and $142.6M in free cash flow against $5.02B in total assets and $671.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NMRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NMRK last traded at $11.38 (-5.64% on volume of 3,111,004 shares), positioning the stock -14.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.30) and -23.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.85). Across its 52-week range of $11.13 to $18.25, NMRK sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($10.41 to $12.35).
NMRK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NMRK stock moving today?
Why NMRK Stock dropped -5.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.