OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A) (OPAL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.63 +5.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64

OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A) (OPAL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $284.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64 (+0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (7)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.3% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE OPAL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPAL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OPAL SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$1.73-9.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$1.56-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$1.51+7.9% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$1.63-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OPAL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OPAL currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.80) and Max Pain ($1.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPAL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OPAL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

OPAL Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (OPAL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on OPAL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OPAL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OPAL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OPAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.54%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.62H $1.63L $1.49C $1.63VOL 215.7K
RES: $3.17SUP: $1.40SMA50: $1.80SMA200: $2.13
$2.88$2.50$2.11$1.73$1.34RES $3.17SUP $1.40$1.632026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-14.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPAL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPAL)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OPAL vs. CLNE, MNTK, SMC, TGS)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A) (OPAL) ranks #156 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #167 by equity capitalization ($284.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPAL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OPAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. SMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with OPAL at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OPAL ACTIVE
OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A)
D 49/100 — — 41.1% +5.84% $284.7M Benchmark Subject
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
D 51/100 — — -20.0% +4.20% $328.5M /clne-vs-opal →
MNTK
Montauk Renewables Inc.
D- 43/100 — — 0.2% +5.33% $337.3M /mntk-vs-opal →
SMC
Summit Midstream Corporation
D+ 57/100 — 73.5% 0.5% +0.45% $637.5M /smc-vs-opal →
TGS
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA TGS
D+ 52/100 — — — -1.11% $3.77B /tgs-vs-opal →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001842279

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A) (OPAL) reported GAAP revenue of $326.7M (+12.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $290.9M , and +30.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $36.5M, and free cash flow of -$34.2M (+64.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPAL closed FY2025 with $959.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.76, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $326.7M $0 $36.5M -$34.2M $959.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $290.9M $0 $31.4M -$95.9M $881.1M $285.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $251.1M $0 $38.3M $38.3M — —

3. OPAL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: OPAL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.63 (+5.84% 1D, market cap $284.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OPAL ranks #156 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPAL compare to CLNE and MNTK in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), OPAL carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 41.1%. By comparison, CLNE (Clean Energy Fuels Corp.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $328.5M) and MNTK (Montauk Renewables Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $337.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPAL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OPAL leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPAL?

Per OPAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001842279), OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A) generated $326.7M in revenue (+12.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$34.2M in free cash flow against $959.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPAL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPAL last traded at $1.63 (+5.84% on volume of 162,007 shares), positioning the stock -9.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.80) and -23.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.13). Across its 52-week range of $1.46 to $2.87, OPAL sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($1.44 to $1.82).

OPAL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are OPAL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies OPAL leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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