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Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$31.39 +0.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.36

Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $637.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.36 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMC SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.9% FCF Margin ($44.6M FCF) & 73.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.7) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$31.95-3.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$30.70+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$31.21+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$31.39-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, SMC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 71.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.29) or 200D SMA ($30.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.25) toward Bear Floor ($24.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

46.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE68% OF RANGE

L: $21$31.39H: $36

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (74% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SMC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

0.5% ROIC with 73.5% gross margin and 6.99% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SMC

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMC)

✓Walkthrough of SMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $31.26H $31.69L $30.75C $31.39VOL 164.6K

RES: $39.77SUP: $29.20SMA50: $32.29SMA200: $30.67

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMC Butterfly Map → + Track SMC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +30.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMC)

Energy Rank #116 of 211 ⚔️ MNTK vs SMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SMC vs. MNTK, CLNE, OPAL, TGS)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) ranks #116 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #149 by equity capitalization ($637.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SMC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OPAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. SMC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMC ACTIVE Summit Midstream Corporation	D+	57/100	—	73.5%	0.5%	+0.45%	$637.5M	Benchmark Subject
MNTK Montauk Renewables Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	0.2%	+5.33%	$337.3M	/mntk-vs-smc →
CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp.	D	51/100	—	—	-20.0%	+4.20%	$328.5M	/clne-vs-smc →
OPAL OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	41.1%	+5.84%	$284.7M	/opal-vs-smc →
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA TGS	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-1.11%	$3.77B	/tgs-vs-smc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002024218

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) reported GAAP revenue of $562.1M (+30.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $429.6M , and +22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.0M, operating cash flow of $133.6M, and free cash flow of $44.6M (+446.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMC closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $1.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$562.1M	$3.0M	$133.6M	$44.6M	$2.39B	$1.02B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$429.6M	-$113.2M	$61.8M	$8.2M	$2.36B	$977.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$458.9M	-$63.1M	$126.9M	$126.9M	—	—

3. SMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Summit Midstream Corporation (NYSE: SMC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $31.39 (+0.45% 1D, market cap $637.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SMC ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMC compare to MNTK and CLNE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), SMC carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 73.5%, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, MNTK (Montauk Renewables Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $337.3M) and CLNE (Clean Energy Fuels Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $328.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OPAL leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMC?

Per SMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002024218), Summit Midstream Corporation generated $562.1M in revenue (+30.8% YoY), $3.0M in net income, and $44.6M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $1.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMC last traded at $31.39 (+0.45% on volume of 93,952 shares), positioning the stock -2.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.29) and +2.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.67). Across its 52-week range of $20.80 to $36.47, SMC sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($28.88 to $33.90).

SMC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SMC stock right now?

Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SMC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SMC's 12-month base price target is $31.25 (range $24.38 to $38.29), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SMC RQD Cockpit SMC 12M Forecast SMC Earnings & Move SMC Dividends & DRIP SMC Insiders & 13F SMC Whale Options SMC Profit Sankey SMC News & Why