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Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8% Move

$31.39 +0.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.36

Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $637.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.36 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMC SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.9% FCF Margin ($44.6M FCF) & 73.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.7) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$31.95-3.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$30.70+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$31.21+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$31.39-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, SMC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 71.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.29) or 200D SMA ($30.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.25) toward Bear Floor ($24.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8% Swing Band

±$2.51 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SMC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 30.8%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$562.1M	$3.0M	$44.6M	73.5%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$429.6M	-$113.2M	$8.2M	73.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$458.9M	-$63.1M	$126.9M	73.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMC)

✓Walkthrough of SMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $31.26H $31.69L $30.75C $31.39VOL 164.6K

RES: $39.77SUP: $29.20SMA50: $32.29SMA200: $30.67

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMC Butterfly Map → + Track SMC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +30.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMC)

Energy Rank #116 of 211 ⚔️ MNTK vs SMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SMC vs. MNTK, CLNE, OPAL, TGS)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) ranks #116 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #149 by equity capitalization ($637.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SMC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OPAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. SMC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMC ACTIVE Summit Midstream Corporation	D+	57/100	—	73.5%	0.5%	+0.45%	$637.5M	Benchmark Subject
MNTK Montauk Renewables Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	0.2%	+5.33%	$337.3M	/mntk-vs-smc →
CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp.	D	51/100	—	—	-20.0%	+4.20%	$328.5M	/clne-vs-smc →
OPAL OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	41.1%	+5.84%	$284.7M	/opal-vs-smc →
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA TGS	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-1.11%	$3.77B	/tgs-vs-smc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002024218

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) reported GAAP revenue of $562.1M (+30.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $429.6M , and +22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.0M, operating cash flow of $133.6M, and free cash flow of $44.6M (+446.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMC closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $1.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$562.1M	$3.0M	$133.6M	$44.6M	$2.39B	$1.02B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$429.6M	-$113.2M	$61.8M	$8.2M	$2.36B	$977.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$458.9M	-$63.1M	$126.9M	$126.9M	—	—

3. SMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Summit Midstream Corporation (NYSE: SMC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $31.39 (+0.45% 1D, market cap $637.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SMC ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMC compare to MNTK and CLNE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), SMC carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 73.5%, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, MNTK (Montauk Renewables Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $337.3M) and CLNE (Clean Energy Fuels Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $328.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OPAL leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMC?

Per SMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002024218), Summit Midstream Corporation generated $562.1M in revenue (+30.8% YoY), $3.0M in net income, and $44.6M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $1.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMC last traded at $31.39 (+0.45% on volume of 93,952 shares), positioning the stock -2.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.29) and +2.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.67). Across its 52-week range of $20.80 to $36.47, SMC sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($28.88 to $33.90).

SMC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SMC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SMC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8% event move for SMC, spanning a range between $28.88 and $33.9.

Direct Sub-Reports: SMC RQD Cockpit SMC 12M Forecast SMC Earnings & Move SMC Dividends & DRIP SMC Insiders & 13F SMC Whale Options SMC Profit Sankey SMC News & Why