Onterris Inc. (ONT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 15% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 1.4% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, ONT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.57) or 200D SMA ($19.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.77) toward Bear Floor ($11.52).
Onterris Inc. (ONT) surged +2.40% to $14.90, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($12.26 – $30). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Onterris's earnings recovery could materialize in Measurement & Analysis and with emergency response, resulting in an EBITDA surge. See why ONT stock is a Buy.
What a brutal six months it’s been for Onterris. The stock has dropped 31.5% and now trades at $14.31, rattling many shareholders. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and might have investors contempla
Wall Street has set ambitious price targets for the stocks in this article. While this suggests attractive upside potential, it’s important to remain skeptical because analysts face institutional pressures that can somet
TransUnion (TRU) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +3.31% and +0.31%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
LITTLE ROCK, Ark., October 21, 2026--Onterris (NYSE: ONT), a global environmental solutions company solving complex challenges for planet and progress, today announced that it has successfully completed a prototype proje
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Onterris Inc. (ONT) ranks #514 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #584 by equity capitalization ($523.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RMR leads on earnings valuation at 31.2x trailing P/E, while RMR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and — gross margin. RMR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with ONT at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONT
ACTIVE
Onterris Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | 40.3% | 1.3% | +2.40% | $523.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| NORD Nordicus Partners Corporation | D | 44/100 | — | — | -5.3% | +27.12% | $530.4M | /nord-vs-ont → |
| RMR The RMR Group Inc. (Class A) | C | 62/100 | 31.2x | — | 18.0% | -1.27% | $548.6M | /rmr-vs-ont → |
| KELYA Kelly Services Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | — | 20.1% | -5.8% | -1.27% | $564.7M | /kelya-vs-ont → |
| ROMA Roma Green Finance Limited (Class A) | E | 30/100 | — | 17.1% | — | -5.43% | $394.3M | /roma-vs-ont → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Onterris Inc. (ONT) reported GAAP revenue of $830.5M (+19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $696.4M , and +33.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.0K, operating cash flow of $107.5M, and free cash flow of $91.2M (+10006.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONT closed FY2025 with $981.3M in total assets against $277.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $830.5M | -$843.0K | $107.5M | $91.2M | $981.3M | $277.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $696.4M | -$62.3M | $22.2M | $902.0K | $990.4M | $204.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $624.2M | -$30.9M | $56.0M | $56.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Onterris Inc. (NYSE: ONT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $14.90 (+2.40% 1D, market cap $523.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONT ranks #514 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ONT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, NORD (Nordicus Partners Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.3%, cap $530.4M) and RMR (The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 31.2x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $548.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RMR leads on earnings multiple (31.2x) while RMR leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
Per ONT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001643615), Onterris Inc. generated $830.5M in revenue (+19.3% YoY), -$843.0K in net income, and $91.2M in free cash flow against $981.3M in total assets and $277.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ONT last traded at $14.90 (+2.40% on volume of 331,349 shares), positioning the stock -4.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.57) and -23.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.35). Across its 52-week range of $12.26 to $30.00, ONT sits at the 14.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.04 to $16.76).
Why ONT Stock surged +2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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