Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ONT / financials

NORD (44) RMR (62) KELYA (60) ROMA (30) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Onterris Inc. (ONT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$14.90 +2.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.94

Onterris Inc. (ONT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $523.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ONT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ONT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-01, Onterris Inc. (NYSE: ONT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $14.90 (+2.40% 1D, market cap $523.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONT ranks #514 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ONT compare to NORD and RMR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ONT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, NORD (Nordicus Partners Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.3%, cap $530.4M) and RMR (The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 31.2x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $548.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RMR leads on earnings multiple (31.2x) while RMR leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONT?

▼

Per ONT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001643615), Onterris Inc. generated $830.5M in revenue (+19.3% YoY), -$843.0K in net income, and $91.2M in free cash flow against $981.3M in total assets and $277.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.94 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 11% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ONT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 15% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 1.4% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.81+1.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$14.01+5.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.83+0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$14.90-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ONT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, ONT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.57) or 200D SMA ($19.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.77) toward Bear Floor ($11.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ONT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ONT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$91.2M (11% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $624.2M

FY24

Rev $696.4M

FY25

Rev $830.5M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$830.5M	40.3%	1.4%	-$843.0K	$91.2M	1.3%
FY 2024	$696.4M	39.9%	-5.3%	-$62.3M	$902.0K	-4.5%
FY 2023	$624.2M	40.3%	-4.6%	-$30.9M	$56.0M	1.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONT)

✓Walkthrough of ONT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ONT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $14.45H $15.13L $14.45C $14.90VOL 568.8K

RES: $24.18SUP: $10.79SMA50: $15.57SMA200: $19.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ONT Butterfly Map → + Track ONT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #514 of 1011 ⚔️ NORD vs ONT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ONT vs. NORD, RMR, KELYA, ROMA)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Onterris Inc. (ONT) ranks #514 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #584 by equity capitalization ($523.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RMR leads on earnings valuation at 31.2x trailing P/E, while RMR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and — gross margin. RMR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with ONT at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ONT ACTIVE Onterris Inc.	D+	56/100	—	40.3%	1.3%	+2.40%	$523.2M	Benchmark Subject
NORD Nordicus Partners Corporation	D	44/100	—	—	-5.3%	+27.12%	$530.4M	/nord-vs-ont →
RMR The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)	C	62/100	31.2x	—	18.0%	-1.27%	$548.6M	/rmr-vs-ont →
KELYA Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	20.1%	-5.8%	-1.27%	$564.7M	/kelya-vs-ont →
ROMA Roma Green Finance Limited (Class A)	E	30/100	—	17.1%	—	-5.43%	$394.3M	/roma-vs-ont →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001643615

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Onterris Inc. (ONT) reported GAAP revenue of $830.5M (+19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $696.4M , and +33.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.0K, operating cash flow of $107.5M, and free cash flow of $91.2M (+10006.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONT closed FY2025 with $981.3M in total assets against $277.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$830.5M	-$843.0K	$107.5M	$91.2M	$981.3M	$277.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$696.4M	-$62.3M	$22.2M	$902.0K	$990.4M	$204.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$624.2M	-$30.9M	$56.0M	$56.0M	—	—

3. ONT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ONT compare to NORD and RMR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONT?

Where is ONT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONT last traded at $14.90 (+2.40% on volume of 331,349 shares), positioning the stock -4.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.57) and -23.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.35). Across its 52-week range of $12.26 to $30.00, ONT sits at the 14.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.04 to $16.76).

ONT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Onterris Inc. (ONT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ONT converted $830.5M of revenue into a 40.3% gross margin, 1.4% operating margin, and $91.2M in free cash flow (11% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ONT RQD Cockpit ONT 12M Forecast ONT Earnings & Move ONT Dividends & DRIP ONT Insiders & 13F ONT Whale Options ONT Profit Sankey ONT News & Why