Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BWMN

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Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$42.86 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.78

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $743.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BWMN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: BWMN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $42.86 (0.00% 1D, market cap $743.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMN ranks #622 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BWMN carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.8x, gross margin of 53.4%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 33.6%, cap $784.3M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?

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Per BWMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847590), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. generated $490.0M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), $12.8M in net income, and $33.4M in free cash flow against $579.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.78 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BWMN SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$42.70+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$42.77+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$42.83+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$42.86-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BWMN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BWMN currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($42.65) and Max Pain ($45.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $48.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BWMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BWMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)

76.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.33>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE89% OF RANGE

L: $25$42.86H: $45

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BWMN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

6.2% ROIC with 53.4% gross margin and 4.50% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.33 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BWMN

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BWMN)

✓Walkthrough of BWMN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BWMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.80%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $42.86H $42.90L $42.86C $42.86VOL 312.5K

RES: $42.94SMA50: $42.65SMA200: $34.34

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BWMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BWMN Butterfly Map → + Track BWMN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

40.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWMN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWMN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #622 of 1011 ⚔️ BBSI vs BWMN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BWMN vs. BBSI, KELYB, KELYA, RMR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) ranks #622 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #546 by equity capitalization ($743.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBSI leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while BBSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and 21.0% gross margin. BBSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BWMN at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BWMN ACTIVE Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.	D	51/100	57.8x	53.4%	6.2%	0.00%	$743.0M	Benchmark Subject
BBSI Barrett Business Services Inc.	C+	69/100	14.4x	21.0%	33.6%	-0.25%	$784.3M	/bbsi-vs-bwmn →
KELYB Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)	D+	53/100	—	20.1%	-5.8%	-4.05%	$949.7M	/kelyb-vs-bwmn →
KELYA Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	20.1%	-5.8%	-1.27%	$564.7M	/kelya-vs-bwmn →
RMR The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)	C	62/100	31.2x	—	18.0%	-1.27%	$548.6M	/rmr-vs-bwmn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847590

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) reported GAAP revenue of $490.0M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $426.6M , and +41.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.8M, operating cash flow of $35.8M, and free cash flow of $33.4M (+41.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BWMN closed FY2025 with $579.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$490.0M	$12.8M	$35.8M	$33.4M	$579.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$426.6M	$3.0M	$24.3M	$23.7M	$505.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$346.3M	-$6.6M	$11.7M	$11.7M	—	—

3. BWMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?

Where is BWMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BWMN last traded at $42.86 (0.00% on volume of 198,653 shares), positioning the stock +0.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.65) and +24.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.34). Across its 52-week range of $25.07 to $45.00, BWMN sits at the 89.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 76.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($42.09 to $43.63).

BWMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BWMN stock right now?

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 58x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BWMN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BWMN's 12-month base price target is $41.51 (range $32.38 to $48.98), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BWMN RQD Cockpit BWMN 12M Forecast BWMN Earnings & Move BWMN Dividends & DRIP BWMN Insiders & 13F BWMN Whale Options BWMN Profit Sankey BWMN News & Why