Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BWMN / earnings

BBSI (69) KELYB (53) KELYA (60) RMR (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±1.8% Move

$42.86 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.78

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $743.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.78 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BWMN SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$42.70+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$42.77+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$42.83+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$42.86-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BWMN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BWMN currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($42.65) and Max Pain ($45.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $48.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BWMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BWMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±1.8% Swing Band

±$0.77 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BWMN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $0.74 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.9%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$490.0M	$12.8M	$33.4M	53.4%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$426.6M	$3.0M	$23.7M	52.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$346.3M	-$6.6M	$11.7M	53.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BWMN)

✓Walkthrough of BWMN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BWMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.80%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $42.86H $42.90L $42.86C $42.86VOL 312.5K

RES: $42.94SMA50: $42.65SMA200: $34.34

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BWMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BWMN Butterfly Map → + Track BWMN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

40.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWMN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWMN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #622 of 1011 ⚔️ BBSI vs BWMN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BWMN vs. BBSI, KELYB, KELYA, RMR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) ranks #622 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #546 by equity capitalization ($743.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBSI leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while BBSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and 21.0% gross margin. BBSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BWMN at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BWMN ACTIVE Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.	D	51/100	57.8x	53.4%	6.2%	0.00%	$743.0M	Benchmark Subject
BBSI Barrett Business Services Inc.	C+	69/100	14.4x	21.0%	33.6%	-0.25%	$784.3M	/bbsi-vs-bwmn →
KELYB Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)	D+	53/100	—	20.1%	-5.8%	-4.05%	$949.7M	/kelyb-vs-bwmn →
KELYA Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	20.1%	-5.8%	-1.27%	$564.7M	/kelya-vs-bwmn →
RMR The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)	C	62/100	31.2x	—	18.0%	-1.27%	$548.6M	/rmr-vs-bwmn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847590

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) reported GAAP revenue of $490.0M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $426.6M , and +41.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.8M, operating cash flow of $35.8M, and free cash flow of $33.4M (+41.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BWMN closed FY2025 with $579.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$490.0M	$12.8M	$35.8M	$33.4M	$579.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$426.6M	$3.0M	$24.3M	$23.7M	$505.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$346.3M	-$6.6M	$11.7M	$11.7M	—	—

3. BWMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: BWMN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $42.86 (0.00% 1D, market cap $743.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMN ranks #622 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BWMN carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.8x, gross margin of 53.4%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 33.6%, cap $784.3M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?

Per BWMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847590), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. generated $490.0M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), $12.8M in net income, and $33.4M in free cash flow against $579.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BWMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BWMN last traded at $42.86 (0.00% on volume of 198,653 shares), positioning the stock +0.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.65) and +24.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.34). Across its 52-week range of $25.07 to $45.00, BWMN sits at the 89.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 76.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($42.09 to $43.63).