MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why BWMN Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$42.86 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.78
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $743.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.78 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BWMN SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$42.70+0.2% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$42.77+0.1% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$42.83+0.1% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$42.86-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BWMN Turnaround Squeeze
While BWMN currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($42.65) and Max Pain ($45.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $48.98.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BWMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BWMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BWMN Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) slipped 0.00% to $42.86, trading at 89% of its 52-week range ($25.07 – $45). Stretched risk/reward at 58x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 89% of its 52-week range ($25.07 – $45) with RSI-14 at 76.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $42.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 53.4% gross margin and $33.4M annual free cash flow.
Live BWMN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BWMN)
- ✓Walkthrough of BWMN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BWMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.80%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $42.86H $42.90L $42.86C $42.86VOL 312.5K
RES: $42.94SMA50: $42.65SMA200: $34.34
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BWMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
40.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWMN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWMN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #622 of 1011
⚔️ BBSI vs BWMN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BWMN vs. BBSI, KELYB, KELYA, RMR)
Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) ranks #622 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #546 by equity capitalization ($743.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBSI leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while BBSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and 21.0% gross margin. BBSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BWMN at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWMN
ACTIVE
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. | D | 51/100 | 57.8x | 53.4% | 6.2% | 0.00% | $743.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| BBSI Barrett Business Services Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 14.4x | 21.0% | 33.6% | -0.25% | $784.3M | /bbsi-vs-bwmn → |
| KELYB Kelly Services Inc. (Class B) | D+ | 53/100 | — | 20.1% | -5.8% | -4.05% | $949.7M | /kelyb-vs-bwmn → |
| KELYA Kelly Services Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | — | 20.1% | -5.8% | -1.27% | $564.7M | /kelya-vs-bwmn → |
| RMR The RMR Group Inc. (Class A) | C | 62/100 | 31.2x | — | 18.0% | -1.27% | $548.6M | /rmr-vs-bwmn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847590In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) reported GAAP revenue of $490.0M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $426.6M , and +41.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.8M, operating cash flow of $35.8M, and free cash flow of $33.4M (+41.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BWMN closed FY2025 with $579.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $490.0M | $12.8M | $35.8M | $33.4M | $579.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $426.6M | $3.0M | $24.3M | $23.7M | $505.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $346.3M | -$6.6M | $11.7M | $11.7M | — | — |
3. BWMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: BWMN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $42.86 (0.00% 1D, market cap $743.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMN ranks #622 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BWMN carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.8x, gross margin of 53.4%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 33.6%, cap $784.3M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?
Per BWMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847590), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. generated $490.0M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), $12.8M in net income, and $33.4M in free cash flow against $579.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BWMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BWMN last traded at $42.86 (0.00% on volume of 198,653 shares), positioning the stock +0.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.65) and +24.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.34). Across its 52-week range of $25.07 to $45.00, BWMN sits at the 89.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 76.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($42.09 to $43.63).
BWMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BWMN stock moving today?
Why BWMN Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 58x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.