MARKET WIRECNBC • 1h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why OBE Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.68 -0.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $779.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OBE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OBE Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) slipped -0.93% to $11.68, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($5.47 – $14.59). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($5.47 – $14.59) with RSI-14 at 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.7% around $11.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $21.8M annual free cash flow.
Live OBE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 3h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OBE)
- ✓Walkthrough of OBE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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OBE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.21%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $11.78H $11.83L $11.65C $11.68VOL 581.2K
RES: $13.50SUP: $10.61SMA50: $11.55SMA200: $10.18
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OBE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OBE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OBE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OBE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OBE)
Energy Rank #132 of 211
⚔️ VTS vs OBE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OBE vs. VTS, GRNT, WHK, GPRK)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) ranks #132 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #144 by equity capitalization ($779.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while WHK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. VTS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with OBE at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBE
ACTIVE
Obsidian Energy Ltd. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -0.93% | $779.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| VTS Vitesse Energy Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 30.5x | — | 2.2% | +0.11% | $770.5M | /vts-vs-obe → |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 31.3x | — | 3.8% | -0.34% | $763.7M | /grnt-vs-obe → |
| WHK WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | 7.4% | -2.26% | $802.5M | /whk-vs-obe → |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -1.64% | $702.2M | /gprk-vs-obe → |
2. OBE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTObsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $779.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. OBE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OBE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Obsidian Energy Ltd. (NYSE: OBE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $11.68 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $779.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OBE ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OBE compare to VTS and GRNT in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OBE carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VTS (Vitesse Energy Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC 2.2%, cap $770.5M) and GRNT (Granite Ridge Resources Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $763.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while WHK leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OBE?
For Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #132 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OBE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OBE last traded at $11.68 (-0.93% on volume of 392,459 shares), positioning the stock +1.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.55) and +14.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.18). Across its 52-week range of $5.47 to $14.59, OBE sits at the 68.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($10.55 to $12.81).
OBE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OBE stock moving today?
Why OBE Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.