NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($9.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While NXDT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.18) and Max Pain ($4.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.25.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) dropped -17.75% to $4.31, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($2.55 – $5.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust ("NXDT") (NYSE: NXDT) announced today that its board of trustees has declared a quarterly cash distribution of $0.03 per common share of NXDT. The distribution will be payable on De
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXDT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) ranks #1022 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #864 by equity capitalization ($228.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REFI leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while AIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SITC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with NXDT at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXDT
ACTIVE
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -0.2% | -17.75% | $228.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 6.4x | — | 11.7% | -0.88% | $229.6M | /refi-vs-nxdt → |
| AIV Apartment Investment and Management Company | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +1.86% | $238.2M | /aiv-vs-nxdt → |
| BRT BRT Apartments Corp. (MD) | D | 49/100 | — | — | -6.5% | +2.31% | $249.6M | /brt-vs-nxdt → |
| SITC SITE Centers Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | 53.1% | +0.79% | $200.5M | /sitc-vs-nxdt → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) reported GAAP revenue of $86.0M (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.2M , and +35.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$127.0M, operating cash flow of $9.2M, and free cash flow of $9.2M (+178.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXDT closed FY2025 with $1.07B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $86.0M | -$127.0M | $9.2M | $9.2M | $1.07B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $83.2M | -$56.6M | -$11.7M | -$11.7M | $1.22B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $63.3M | -$117.2M | -$24.3M | -$24.3M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NYSE: NXDT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $4.31 (-17.75% 1D, market cap $228.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NXDT ranks #1022 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NXDT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, REFI (Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $229.6M) and AIV (Apartment Investment and Management Company) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $238.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REFI leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while AIV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per NXDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001356115), NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust generated $86.0M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), -$127.0M in net income, and $9.2M in free cash flow against $1.07B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
NXDT last traded at $4.31 (-17.75% on volume of 498,331 shares), positioning the stock -16.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.18) and -12.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.94). Across its 52-week range of $2.55 to $5.95, NXDT sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($3.86 to $4.76).
Why NXDT Stock dropped -17.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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