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Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell AIV stock right now?

Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is AIV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AIV's 12-month base price target is $1.63 (range $1.27 to $6.34), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.64 +1.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64

Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $238.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 5.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AIV SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$1.77-4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$1.70-4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$1.63+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.64-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AIV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, AIV faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.08) or 200D SMA ($3.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.63) toward Bear Floor ($1.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AIV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

23.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $2$1.64H: $6

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AIV

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

85.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.40% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (57)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AIV

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIV)

✓Walkthrough of AIV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AIV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.41%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $1.65H $1.65L $1.56C $1.64VOL 1.61M

SUP: $1.89SMA50: $2.08SMA200: $3.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AIV Butterfly Map → + Track AIV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIV)

Financials Rank #653 of 1096 ⚔️ REFI vs AIV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AIV vs. REFI, NXDT, BRT, SITC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) ranks #653 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #856 by equity capitalization ($238.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REFI leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while AIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SITC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with AIV at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AIV ACTIVE Apartment Investment and Management Company	D+	57/100	—	—	85.0%	+1.86%	$238.2M	Benchmark Subject
REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.	D+	57/100	6.4x	—	11.7%	-0.88%	$229.6M	/refi-vs-aiv →
NXDT NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust	D-	36/100	—	—	-0.2%	-17.75%	$228.9M	/nxdt-vs-aiv →
BRT BRT Apartments Corp. (MD)	D	49/100	—	—	-6.5%	+2.31%	$249.6M	/brt-vs-aiv →
SITC SITE Centers Corp.	C+	67/100	—	—	53.1%	+0.79%	$200.5M	/sitc-vs-aiv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000922864

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) reported GAAP revenue of $138.5M (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $137.7M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $547.2M, operating cash flow of $8.1M, and free cash flow of $8.1M (-82.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIV closed FY2025 with $1.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$138.5M	$547.2M	$8.1M	$8.1M	$1.68B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$137.7M	-$104.0M	$47.0M	$47.0M	$1.96B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$119.9M	-$166.2M	$50.5M	$50.5M	—	—

3. AIV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Apartment Investment and Management Company (NYSE: AIV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $1.64 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $238.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIV ranks #653 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIV compare to REFI and NXDT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AIV carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, REFI (Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $229.6M) and NXDT (NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $228.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REFI leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while AIV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIV?

Per AIV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000922864), Apartment Investment and Management Company generated $138.5M in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $547.2M in net income, and $8.1M in free cash flow against $1.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIV last traded at $1.64 (+1.86% on volume of 1,413,994 shares), positioning the stock -21.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.08) and -53.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.53). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $6.04, AIV sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($1.49 to $1.79).

AIV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AIV stock right now?

Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AIV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AIV's 12-month base price target is $1.63 (range $1.27 to $6.34), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AIV RQD Cockpit AIV 12M Forecast AIV Earnings & Move AIV Dividends & DRIP AIV Insiders & 13F AIV Whale Options AIV Profit Sankey AIV News & Why