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NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Are NXDT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NXDT leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

$4.31 -17.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $228.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16 (-3.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 10.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NXDT SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($9.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$5.15-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$4.90-0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.89-11.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$4.31-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXDT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXDT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.18) and Max Pain ($4.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NXDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NXDT Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NXDT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NXDT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXDT)

✓Walkthrough of NXDT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NXDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.48%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.23H $4.37L $3.81C $4.31VOL 398.5K

RES: $5.38SUP: $3.15SMA50: $5.18SMA200: $4.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NXDT Butterfly Map → + Track NXDT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXDT)

Financials Rank #1022 of 1096 ⚔️ REFI vs NXDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NXDT vs. REFI, AIV, BRT, SITC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) ranks #1022 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #864 by equity capitalization ($228.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REFI leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while AIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SITC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with NXDT at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NXDT ACTIVE NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust	D-	36/100	—	—	-0.2%	-17.75%	$228.9M	Benchmark Subject
REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.	D+	57/100	6.4x	—	11.7%	-0.88%	$229.6M	/refi-vs-nxdt →
AIV Apartment Investment and Management Company	D+	57/100	—	—	85.0%	+1.86%	$238.2M	/aiv-vs-nxdt →
BRT BRT Apartments Corp. (MD)	D	49/100	—	—	-6.5%	+2.31%	$249.6M	/brt-vs-nxdt →
SITC SITE Centers Corp.	C+	67/100	—	—	53.1%	+0.79%	$200.5M	/sitc-vs-nxdt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001356115

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) reported GAAP revenue of $86.0M (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.2M , and +35.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$127.0M, operating cash flow of $9.2M, and free cash flow of $9.2M (+178.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXDT closed FY2025 with $1.07B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$86.0M	-$127.0M	$9.2M	$9.2M	$1.07B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.2M	-$56.6M	-$11.7M	-$11.7M	$1.22B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$63.3M	-$117.2M	-$24.3M	-$24.3M	—	—

3. NXDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NYSE: NXDT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $4.31 (-17.75% 1D, market cap $228.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NXDT ranks #1022 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXDT compare to REFI and AIV in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NXDT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, REFI (Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $229.6M) and AIV (Apartment Investment and Management Company) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $238.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REFI leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while AIV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXDT?

Per NXDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001356115), NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust generated $86.0M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), -$127.0M in net income, and $9.2M in free cash flow against $1.07B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXDT last traded at $4.31 (-17.75% on volume of 498,331 shares), positioning the stock -16.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.18) and -12.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.94). Across its 52-week range of $2.55 to $5.95, NXDT sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($3.86 to $4.76).

NXDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NXDT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NXDT leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: NXDT RQD Cockpit NXDT 12M Forecast NXDT Earnings & Move NXDT Dividends & DRIP NXDT Insiders & 13F NXDT Whale Options NXDT Profit Sankey NXDT News & Why