MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why NVGS Stock advanced +0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$21.71 +0.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.71
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.34B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.71 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 19.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NVGS SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B+$23.93-10.9% Next Q
75
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$21.33+2.7% Next Q
72
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$21.91-0.9% Next Q
70
CurrentGrade C+$21.71+1.6% Hist 90D α
67
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVGS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, NVGS faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.79) or 200D SMA ($21.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.59) toward Bear Floor ($17.62).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NVGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NVGS Stock advanced +0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) advanced +0.93% to $21.71, trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($16.12 – $25.48). Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($16.12 – $25.48) with RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $21.71 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $116.6M annual free cash flow.
Live NVGS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NVGS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NVGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.41%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $21.71H $21.72L $21.21C $21.71VOL 297.9K
RES: $26.55SUP: $20.44SMA50: $22.79SMA200: $21.19
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NVGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVGS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVGS)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #240 of 1011
⚔️ TK vs NVGS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NVGS vs. TK, CCEC, GSL, GNK)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #474 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NVGS at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVGS
ACTIVE
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) | C+ | 67/100 | 13.4x | — | 12.2% | +0.93% | $1.34B | Benchmark Subject |
| TK Teekay Corporation Ltd. | B | 75/100 | 13.2x | 66.6% | 19.6% | +1.85% | $1.29B | /tk-vs-nvgs → |
| CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share | D | 47/100 | 7.0x | — | 4.9% | -3.28% | $1.19B | /ccec-vs-nvgs → |
| GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) | C | 64/100 | 3.6x | — | 16.6% | +0.24% | $1.52B | /gsl-vs-nvgs → |
| GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | 0.6% | +4.02% | $1.16B | /gnk-vs-nvgs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001581804In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported GAAP revenue of $587.0M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $566.7M , and +6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $201.7M, and free cash flow of $116.6M (-44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVGS closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $587.0M | $100.1M | $201.7M | $116.6M | $2.28B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $566.7M | $85.6M | $210.5M | $210.5M | $2.18B | $505.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $550.7M | $82.3M | $174.4M | $174.4M | — | — |
3. NVGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $21.71 (+0.93% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?
Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NVGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NVGS last traded at $21.71 (+0.93% on volume of 251,151 shares), positioning the stock -4.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.79) and +2.45% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.19). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $25.48, NVGS sits at the 59.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($20.02 to $23.40).
NVGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NVGS stock moving today?
Why NVGS Stock advanced +0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.