Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$21.51 -0.92% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.34B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $21.51 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #339 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?
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Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 19.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (9)Macro (16)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$27 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NVGS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NVGS SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 58% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$23.89-13.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$20.75+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$21.66-0.7% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$21.51+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (68) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, NVGS faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.78) or 200D SMA ($21.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.70) toward Bear Floor ($16.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVGSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNVGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.9% Total Yield
1.1% Cash ($0.24/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $18,596

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $539/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.3K
Yr 2
$12.0K
Yr 3
$12.8K
Yr 4
$13.6K
Yr 5
$14.5K
Yr 6
$15.4K
Yr 7
$16.4K
Yr 8
$17.5K
Yr 9
$18.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in NVGS & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on NVGS and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NVGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.05%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $21.51H $21.71L $21.51C $21.51VOL 251.2K
RES: $26.59SUP: $20.46SMA50: $22.78SMA200: $21.20
$26.02$23.77$21.52$19.26$17.01RES $26.59SUP $20.46$21.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVGS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #339 of 1011 βš”οΈ TK vs NVGS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NVGS vs. TK, CCEC, GSL, GNK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) ranks #339 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #474 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NVGS at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NVGS ACTIVE
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)
C- 60/100 13.4x β€” 12.2% -0.92% $1.34B Benchmark Subject
TK
Teekay Corporation Ltd.
B+ 77/100 13.2x 66.6% 19.6% -0.27% $1.29B /tk-vs-nvgs β†’
CCEC
Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share
D 44/100 7.0x β€” 4.9% +9.99% $1.19B /ccec-vs-nvgs β†’
GSL
Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)
C 65/100 3.6x β€” 16.6% -1.37% $1.52B /gsl-vs-nvgs β†’
GNK
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)
D+ 55/100 β€” β€” 0.6% -1.76% $1.16B /gnk-vs-nvgs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001581804

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported GAAP revenue of $587.0M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $566.7M , and +6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $201.7M, and free cash flow of $116.6M (-44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVGS closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $587.0M $100.1M $201.7M $116.6M $2.28B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $566.7M $85.6M $210.5M $210.5M $2.18B $505.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $550.7M $82.3M $174.4M $174.4M β€” β€”

3. NVGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $21.51 (-0.92% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #339 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?

Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NVGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVGS last traded at $21.51 (-0.92% on volume of 297,886 shares), positioning the stock -5.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.78) and +1.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.20). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $25.48, NVGS sits at the 57.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.5% ($19.90 to $23.12).

NVGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does NVGS pay a dividend and is it safe?

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) offers a 1.1% cash dividend yield ($0.24 annualized) and 2.9% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

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