Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NVGS / earnings

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Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.8% Move

$21.71 +0.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.71

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NVGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $21.71 (+0.93% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?

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Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.71 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 19.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NVGS SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$23.93-10.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$21.33+2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$21.91-0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$21.71+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, NVGS faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.79) or 200D SMA ($21.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.59) toward Bear Floor ($17.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NVGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.8% Swing Band

±$1.69 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NVGS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $1.62 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.6%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$587.0M	$100.1M	$116.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$566.7M	$85.6M	$210.5M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$550.7M	$82.3M	$174.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NVGS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NVGS
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NVGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.41%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $21.71H $21.72L $21.21C $21.71VOL 297.9K

RES: $26.55SUP: $20.44SMA50: $22.79SMA200: $21.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVGS Butterfly Map → + Track NVGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #240 of 1011 ⚔️ TK vs NVGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NVGS vs. TK, CCEC, GSL, GNK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #474 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NVGS at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NVGS ACTIVE Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)	C+	67/100	13.4x	—	12.2%	+0.93%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
TK Teekay Corporation Ltd.	B	75/100	13.2x	66.6%	19.6%	+1.85%	$1.29B	/tk-vs-nvgs →
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D	47/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	-3.28%	$1.19B	/ccec-vs-nvgs →
GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)	C	64/100	3.6x	—	16.6%	+0.24%	$1.52B	/gsl-vs-nvgs →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D+	58/100	—	—	0.6%	+4.02%	$1.16B	/gnk-vs-nvgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001581804

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported GAAP revenue of $587.0M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $566.7M , and +6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $201.7M, and free cash flow of $116.6M (-44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVGS closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$587.0M	$100.1M	$201.7M	$116.6M	$2.28B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$566.7M	$85.6M	$210.5M	$210.5M	$2.18B	$505.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$550.7M	$82.3M	$174.4M	$174.4M	—	—

3. NVGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?

Where is NVGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVGS last traded at $21.71 (+0.93% on volume of 251,151 shares), positioning the stock -4.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.79) and +2.45% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.19). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $25.48, NVGS sits at the 59.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($20.02 to $23.40).

NVGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NVGS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NVGS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.8% event move for NVGS, spanning a range between $20.02 and $23.4.

Direct Sub-Reports: NVGS RQD Cockpit NVGS 12M Forecast NVGS Earnings & Move NVGS Dividends & DRIP NVGS Insiders & 13F NVGS Whale Options NVGS Profit Sankey NVGS News & Why