Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NVGS / forecast

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Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$21.71 +0.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.71

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.71 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 19.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NVGS SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$23.93-10.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$21.33+2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$21.91-0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$21.71+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, NVGS faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.79) or 200D SMA ($21.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.59) toward Bear Floor ($17.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NVGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NVGS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $21.71: 460.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $17.62

$8,116

$-1,884 (-18.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $22.59

$10,405

+$405 (+4.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $26.75

$12,322

+$2,322 (+23.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$23	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$25	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$20	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NVGS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NVGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.41%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $21.71H $21.72L $21.21C $21.71VOL 297.9K

RES: $26.55SUP: $20.44SMA50: $22.79SMA200: $21.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVGS Butterfly Map → + Track NVGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #240 of 1011 ⚔️ TK vs NVGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NVGS vs. TK, CCEC, GSL, GNK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #474 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NVGS at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NVGS ACTIVE Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)	C+	67/100	13.4x	—	12.2%	+0.93%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
TK Teekay Corporation Ltd.	B	75/100	13.2x	66.6%	19.6%	+1.85%	$1.29B	/tk-vs-nvgs →
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D	47/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	-3.28%	$1.19B	/ccec-vs-nvgs →
GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)	C	64/100	3.6x	—	16.6%	+0.24%	$1.52B	/gsl-vs-nvgs →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D+	58/100	—	—	0.6%	+4.02%	$1.16B	/gnk-vs-nvgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001581804

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported GAAP revenue of $587.0M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $566.7M , and +6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $201.7M, and free cash flow of $116.6M (-44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVGS closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$587.0M	$100.1M	$201.7M	$116.6M	$2.28B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$566.7M	$85.6M	$210.5M	$210.5M	$2.18B	$505.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$550.7M	$82.3M	$174.4M	$174.4M	—	—

3. NVGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $21.71 (+0.93% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.29B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?

Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NVGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVGS last traded at $21.71 (+0.93% on volume of 251,151 shares), positioning the stock -4.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.79) and +2.45% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.19). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $25.48, NVGS sits at the 59.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($20.02 to $23.40).

NVGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NVGS's 12-month stock price target?

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $22.59 (+4.1% from $21.71), with a bull-case target of $26.75 and a bear-case floor of $17.62.

Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NVGS C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 67/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NVGS RQD Cockpit NVGS 12M Forecast NVGS Earnings & Move NVGS Dividends & DRIP NVGS Insiders & 13F NVGS Whale Options NVGS Profit Sankey NVGS News & Why