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Why NTGR Stock advanced +0.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$23.56 +0.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.53
NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $640.3M
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Is NTGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NETGEAR Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $23.56 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $640.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NTGR ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NTGR compare to ADTN and CLFD in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NTGR carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.0%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $565.5M) and CLFD (Clearfield Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $451.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FN leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while FN leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTGR?
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Per NTGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122904), NETGEAR Inc. generated $699.6M in revenue (+3.8% YoY), -$18.0M in net income, and -$18.9M in free cash flow against $836.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.53 (-0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTGR SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (32% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.54 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$23.08-1.4% Next Q
23
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$22.76-0.7% Next Q
26
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$22.60+4.2% Next Q
28
CurrentGrade E$23.56-9.4% Hist 90D α
31
Trajectory: E (23) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NTGR Turnaround Squeeze
While NTGR currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.26) and Max Pain ($24.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.86.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NTGR Stock advanced +0.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) advanced +0.30% to $23.56, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($19 – $35.1). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($19 – $35.1) with RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $23.56 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 38% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NTGR Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NTGR)
- ✓Walkthrough of NTGR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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NTGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.65%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $23.49H $23.56L $23.49C $23.56VOL 180.5K
RES: $23.83SUP: $21.90SMA50: $22.26SMA200: $22.98
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NTGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTGR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTGR)
Utilities Rank #107 of 117
⚔️ ADTN vs NTGR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (NTGR vs. ADTN, CLFD, AUDC, FN)
Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #85 by equity capitalization ($640.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FN leads on earnings valuation at 26.4x trailing P/E, while FN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.8% ROIC and 12.0% gross margin. AUDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with NTGR at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTGR
ACTIVE
NETGEAR Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 38.0% | -9.4% | +0.30% | $640.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| ADTN ADTRAN Holdings Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | 38.3% | -2.9% | -0.29% | $565.5M | /adtn-vs-ntgr → |
| CLFD Clearfield Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | 33.7% | 0.7% | +4.10% | $451.8M | /clfd-vs-ntgr → |
| AUDC AudioCodes Ltd. | C | 65/100 | 31.8x | 65.0% | 8.8% | -0.69% | $284.8M | /audc-vs-ntgr → |
| FN Fabrinet | D+ | 58/100 | 26.4x | 12.0% | 15.8% | -5.07% | $12.49B | /fn-vs-ntgr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001122904In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) reported GAAP revenue of $699.6M (+3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $673.8M , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.0M, operating cash flow of $1.6M, and free cash flow of -$18.9M (-112.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTGR closed FY2025 with $836.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.54, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $699.6M | -$18.0M | $1.6M | -$18.9M | $836.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $673.8M | $12.0M | $164.8M | $155.8M | $850.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $740.8M | -$105.0M | $56.9M | $56.9M | — | — |
3. NTGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NTGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, NETGEAR Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $23.56 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $640.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NTGR ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NTGR compare to ADTN and CLFD in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NTGR carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.0%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $565.5M) and CLFD (Clearfield Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $451.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FN leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while FN leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTGR?
Per NTGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122904), NETGEAR Inc. generated $699.6M in revenue (+3.8% YoY), -$18.0M in net income, and -$18.9M in free cash flow against $836.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NTGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NTGR last traded at $23.56 (+0.30% on volume of 180,451 shares), positioning the stock +5.84% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.26) and +2.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.98). Across its 52-week range of $19.00 to $35.10, NTGR sits at the 28.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($21.98 to $25.14).
NTGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NTGR stock moving today?
Why NTGR Stock advanced +0.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.