Stock Ratings / Utilities / NTGR / insiders

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NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Is NTGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NETGEAR Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $23.56 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $640.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NTGR ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does NTGR compare to ADTN and CLFD in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NTGR carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.0%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $565.5M) and CLFD (Clearfield Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $451.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FN leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while FN leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTGR?

Per NTGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122904), NETGEAR Inc. generated $699.6M in revenue (+3.8% YoY), -$18.0M in net income, and -$18.9M in free cash flow against $836.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is NTGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTGR last traded at $23.56 (+0.30% on volume of 180,451 shares), positioning the stock +6.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.21) and +2.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.98). Across its 52-week range of $19.00 to $34.37, NTGR sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($21.91 to $25.21).

Q: Are NTGR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NTGR leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

$23.56 +0.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.53

NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $640.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.53 (-0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NTGR SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.54 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$23.60-6.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$22.05+1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$22.46+4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$23.56-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NTGR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NTGR currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.21) and Max Pain ($24.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NTGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NTGR Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NTGR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NTGR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NTGR)

✓Walkthrough of NTGR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NTGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.77%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $22.92H $23.56L $22.31C $23.56VOL 330.6K

RES: $23.86SUP: $21.87SMA50: $22.21SMA200: $22.98

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTGR Butterfly Map → + Track NTGR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTGR)

Utilities Rank #113 of 117 ⚔️ ADTN vs NTGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (NTGR vs. ADTN, CLFD, AUDC, FN)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) ranks #113 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #85 by equity capitalization ($640.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FN leads on earnings valuation at 26.4x trailing P/E, while FN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.8% ROIC and 12.0% gross margin. AUDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with NTGR at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NTGR ACTIVE NETGEAR Inc.	E	30/100	—	38.0%	-9.4%	+0.30%	$640.3M	Benchmark Subject
ADTN ADTRAN Holdings Inc.	D	50/100	—	38.3%	-2.9%	-0.29%	$565.5M	/adtn-vs-ntgr →
CLFD Clearfield Inc.	D	50/100	—	33.7%	0.7%	+4.10%	$451.8M	/clfd-vs-ntgr →
AUDC AudioCodes Ltd.	C	62/100	31.8x	65.0%	8.8%	-0.69%	$284.8M	/audc-vs-ntgr →
FN Fabrinet	D+	58/100	26.4x	12.0%	15.8%	-5.07%	$12.49B	/fn-vs-ntgr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001122904

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) reported GAAP revenue of $699.6M (+3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $673.8M , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.0M, operating cash flow of $1.6M, and free cash flow of -$18.9M (-112.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTGR closed FY2025 with $836.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.54, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$699.6M	-$18.0M	$1.6M	-$18.9M	$836.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$673.8M	$12.0M	$164.8M	$155.8M	$850.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$740.8M	-$105.0M	$56.9M	$56.9M	—	—

3. NTGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NETGEAR Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $23.56 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $640.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NTGR ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTGR compare to ADTN and CLFD in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NTGR carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.0%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $565.5M) and CLFD (Clearfield Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $451.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FN leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while FN leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTGR?

Per NTGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122904), NETGEAR Inc. generated $699.6M in revenue (+3.8% YoY), -$18.0M in net income, and -$18.9M in free cash flow against $836.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTGR last traded at $23.56 (+0.30% on volume of 180,451 shares), positioning the stock +6.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.21) and +2.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.98). Across its 52-week range of $19.00 to $34.37, NTGR sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($21.91 to $25.21).

NTGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NTGR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NTGR leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: NTGR RQD Cockpit NTGR 12M Forecast NTGR Earnings & Move NTGR Dividends & DRIP NTGR Insiders & 13F NTGR Whale Options NTGR Profit Sankey NTGR News & Why