NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$23.56 +0.30% NASDAQ โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.53

NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E โ€ข RED ALERT Cap $640.3M
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
โšก INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW โ€ข $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NTGR Below โ€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
๐Ÿค– Mara Quenwick โ€ข AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NTGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, NETGEAR Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $23.56 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $640.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NTGR ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Ellis Vennor โ€ข AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NTGR compare to ADTN and CLFD in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NTGR carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.0%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $565.5M) and CLFD (Clearfield Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $451.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FN leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while FN leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Gideon Ashmere โ€ข AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTGR?
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Per NTGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122904), NETGEAR Inc. generated $699.6M in revenue (+3.8% YoY), -$18.0M in net income, and -$18.9M in free cash flow against $836.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists โ€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.53 (-0.14%)๐Ÿงฌ Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) โ€ข 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 ยท E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT โ€ข E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E ยท Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$36 Bull$21 Base$16 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE NTGR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY NTGR SCORES 30/100 (E) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (ยฑ7% realized swing band)

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.54 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) โ€ข Piotroski F-Score 4/9

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$23.60-6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$22.05+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$22.46+4.9% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$23.56-9.6% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: E (38) โ†’ E (30)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NTGR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

While NTGR currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.21) and Max Pain ($24.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.09.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTGRโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œNTGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 โ€ข REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years โ†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP โ€ข SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NTGR)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of NTGR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NTGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.77%โšก TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $22.92H $23.56L $22.31C $23.56VOL 330.6K
RES: $23.86SUP: $21.87SMA50: $22.21SMA200: $22.98
$28.52$26.27$24.02$21.77$19.52RES $23.86SUP $21.87$23.562026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTGR today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTGR)

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (NTGR vs. ADTN, CLFD, AUDC, FN)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) ranks #113 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #85 by equity capitalization ($640.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FN leads on earnings valuation at 26.4x trailing P/E, while FN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.8% ROIC and 12.0% gross margin. AUDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with NTGR at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTGR ACTIVE
NETGEAR Inc.
E 30/100 โ€” 38.0% -9.4% +0.30% $640.3M Benchmark Subject
ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings Inc.
D 50/100 โ€” 38.3% -2.9% -0.29% $565.5M /adtn-vs-ntgr โ†’
CLFD
Clearfield Inc.
D 50/100 โ€” 33.7% 0.7% +4.10% $451.8M /clfd-vs-ntgr โ†’
AUDC
AudioCodes Ltd.
C 62/100 31.8x 65.0% 8.8% -0.69% $284.8M /audc-vs-ntgr โ†’
FN
Fabrinet
D+ 58/100 26.4x 12.0% 15.8% -5.07% $12.49B /fn-vs-ntgr โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-12-31 โ€ข CIK 0001122904

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) reported GAAP revenue of $699.6M (+3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $673.8M , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.0M, operating cash flow of $1.6M, and free cash flow of -$18.9M (-112.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTGR closed FY2025 with $836.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.54, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $699.6M -$18.0M $1.6M -$18.9M $836.3M โ€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $673.8M $12.0M $164.8M $155.8M $850.2M โ€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $740.8M -$105.0M $56.9M $56.9M โ€” โ€”

3. NTGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NETGEAR Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $23.56 (+0.30% 1D, market cap $640.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, NTGR ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTGR compare to ADTN and CLFD in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NTGR carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.0%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $565.5M) and CLFD (Clearfield Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $451.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FN leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while FN leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTGR?

Per NTGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122904), NETGEAR Inc. generated $699.6M in revenue (+3.8% YoY), -$18.0M in net income, and -$18.9M in free cash flow against $836.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTGR last traded at $23.56 (+0.30% on volume of 180,451 shares), positioning the stock +6.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.21) and +2.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.98). Across its 52-week range of $19.00 to $34.37, NTGR sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ7.0% ($21.91 to $25.21).

NTGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS โ€ข SEC EDGAR ร— CBOE ร— FRED

Does NTGR pay a dividend and is it safe?

NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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