Clearfield Inc. (CLFD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$33.26 +4.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.44

Clearfield Inc. (CLFD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $451.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.44 (+0.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C+
Cash (6)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$55 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE CLFD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLFD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLFD SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 16.56 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$34.01-13.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$29.47-6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$27.70+20.1% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$33.26-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLFD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLFD currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($30.35) and Max Pain ($34.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLFD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLFD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
5530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
16.56>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE33% OF RANGE
L: $24$33.26H: $53
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CLFD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

0.7% ROIC with 33.7% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 16.56 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (50)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CLFD
  • ✓Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLFD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CLFD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CLFD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.13%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $32.04H $33.26L $31.48C $33.26VOL 108.0K
RES: $34.15SUP: $27.33SMA50: $30.35SMA200: $32.46
$54.61$46.83$39.05$31.27$23.50RES $34.15SUP $27.33$33.262026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLFD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLFD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLFD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLFD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLFD)

Utilities Rank #76 of 117 ⚔️ ADTN vs CLFD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CLFD vs. ADTN, NTGR, AUDC, FKWL)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Clearfield Inc. (CLFD) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #89 by equity capitalization ($451.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUDC leads on earnings valuation at 31.8x trailing P/E, while AUDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. AUDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with CLFD at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLFD ACTIVE
Clearfield Inc.
D 50/100 — 33.7% 0.7% +4.10% $451.8M Benchmark Subject
ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings Inc.
D 50/100 — 38.3% -2.9% -0.29% $565.5M /adtn-vs-clfd →
NTGR
NETGEAR Inc.
E 30/100 — 38.0% -9.4% +0.30% $640.3M /ntgr-vs-clfd →
AUDC
AudioCodes Ltd.
C 62/100 31.8x 65.0% 8.8% -0.69% $284.8M /audc-vs-clfd →
FKWL
Franklin Wireless Corp.
D 48/100 — 17.2% -6.4% 0.00% $25.8M /fkwl-vs-clfd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000796505

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Clearfield Inc. (CLFD) reported GAAP revenue of $150.1M (+19.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $125.6M , and -33.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.1M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, CLFD closed FY2025 with $268.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 16.56, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $150.1M -$8.1M — — $268.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $125.6M -$12.5M $22.2M $12.7M $303.2M $2.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $225.7M $32.5M $18.4M $18.4M — —

3. CLFD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLFD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Clearfield Inc. (NASDAQ: CLFD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $33.26 (+4.10% 1D, market cap $451.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CLFD ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLFD compare to ADTN and NTGR in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CLFD carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.7%, and ROIC of 0.7%. By comparison, ADTN (ADTRAN Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $565.5M) and NTGR (NETGEAR Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.4%, cap $640.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUDC leads on earnings multiple (31.8x) while AUDC leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLFD?

Per CLFD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000796505), Clearfield Inc. generated $150.1M in revenue (+19.6% YoY), -$8.1M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $268.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLFD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLFD last traded at $33.26 (+4.10% on volume of 117,203 shares), positioning the stock +9.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.35) and +2.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.46). Across its 52-week range of $23.76 to $52.73, CLFD sits at the 32.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($30.03 to $36.49).

CLFD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CLFD stock right now?

Clearfield Inc. (CLFD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CLFD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CLFD's 12-month base price target is $32.06 (range $25.01 to $55.37), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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