Stock Ratings / Technology / MOMO / earnings

CCSI (70) VTEX (63) CGNT (55) DCBO (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.5% Move

Q: Is MOMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $4.44 (-0.67% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MOMO ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does MOMO compare to CCSI and VTEX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MOMO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.8%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $690.7M) and VTEX (VTEX (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $697.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOMO?

Per MOMO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610601), Hello Group Inc. generated $1.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.97B in total assets and $448.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is MOMO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOMO last traded at $4.44 (-0.67% on volume of 533,026 shares), positioning the stock -10.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.96) and -23.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.82). Across its 52-week range of $4.37 to $7.25, MOMO sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($4.20 to $4.68).

Q: When is MOMO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Hello Group Inc. (MOMO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is MOMO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.5% event move for MOMO, spanning a range between $4.2 and $4.68.

$4.44 -0.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.43

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $656.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.43 (-0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOMO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MOMO SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$4.72-0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$4.69-4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$4.50-1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$4.44+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MOMO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, MOMO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.96) or 200D SMA ($5.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.66) toward Bear Floor ($3.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOMO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MOMO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.5% Swing Band

±$0.24 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MOMO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.4%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.48B	$0	$98.8M	37.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.45B	$0	$185.6M	39%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.69B	$0	$320.7M	37.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MOMO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MOMO
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MOMO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.85%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $4.43H $4.49L $4.36C $4.44VOL 576.1K

RES: $5.52SUP: $4.42SMA50: $4.96SMA200: $5.82

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MOMO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MOMO Butterfly Map → + Track MOMO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOMO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOMO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOMO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOMO)

Technology Rank #118 of 714 ⚔️ CCSI vs MOMO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MOMO vs. CCSI, VTEX, CGNT, DCBO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) ranks #118 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #398 by equity capitalization ($656.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with MOMO at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MOMO ACTIVE Hello Group Inc.	C+	69/100	—	37.8%	18.6%	-0.67%	$656.0M	Benchmark Subject
CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.	B-	70/100	8.2x	79.8%	24.2%	+1.13%	$690.7M	/ccsi-vs-momo →
VTEX VTEX (Class A)	C	63/100	34.8x	77.5%	6.6%	+4.40%	$697.2M	/vtex-vs-momo →
CGNT Cognyte Software Ltd.	D+	55/100	—	72.4%	11.7%	-1.66%	$723.5M	/cgnt-vs-momo →
DCBO Docebo Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-0.79%	$735.2M	/dcbo-vs-momo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001610601

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and -12.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $169.2M, and free cash flow of $98.8M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOMO closed FY2025 with $1.97B in total assets against $448.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.48B	$0	$169.2M	$98.8M	$1.97B	$448.0K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.45B	$0	$224.7M	$185.6M	$2.52B	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.69B	$0	$320.7M	$320.7M	—	—

3. MOMO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MOMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $4.44 (-0.67% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MOMO ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MOMO compare to CCSI and VTEX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MOMO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.8%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $690.7M) and VTEX (VTEX (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $697.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOMO?

Per MOMO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610601), Hello Group Inc. generated $1.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.97B in total assets and $448.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MOMO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOMO last traded at $4.44 (-0.67% on volume of 533,026 shares), positioning the stock -10.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.96) and -23.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.82). Across its 52-week range of $4.37 to $7.25, MOMO sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($4.20 to $4.68).

MOMO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MOMO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Hello Group Inc. (MOMO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MOMO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.5% event move for MOMO, spanning a range between $4.2 and $4.68.

Direct Sub-Reports: MOMO RQD Cockpit MOMO 12M Forecast MOMO Earnings & Move MOMO Dividends & DRIP MOMO Insiders & 13F MOMO Whale Options MOMO Profit Sankey MOMO News & Why