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Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.79 -1.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.74

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $723.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.74 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 7.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CGNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CGNT SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.09 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$8.81-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$8.61+13.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$9.76+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$9.79-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CGNT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CGNT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 69.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.76) or 200D SMA ($8.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.66) toward Bear Floor ($7.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CGNT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CGNT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

57.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.09>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE58% OF RANGE

L: $6$9.79H: $12

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CGNT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

11.7% ROIC with 72.4% gross margin and 4.14% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 2.09 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CGNT

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CGNT)

✓Walkthrough of CGNT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CGNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $9.71H $9.81L $9.31C $9.79VOL 670.9K

RES: $10.54SUP: $7.77SMA50: $8.76SMA200: $8.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CGNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CGNT Butterfly Map → + Track CGNT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CGNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CGNT)

Technology Rank #336 of 714 ⚔️ DCBO vs CGNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CGNT vs. DCBO, SPT, VTEX, CCSI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) ranks #336 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #392 by equity capitalization ($723.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CGNT at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CGNT ACTIVE Cognyte Software Ltd.	D+	55/100	—	72.4%	11.7%	-1.66%	$723.5M	Benchmark Subject
DCBO Docebo Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-0.79%	$735.2M	/dcbo-vs-cgnt →
SPT Sprout Social Inc (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	77.6%	-31.7%	-2.40%	$740.4M	/spt-vs-cgnt →
VTEX VTEX (Class A)	C	63/100	34.8x	77.5%	6.6%	+4.40%	$697.2M	/vtex-vs-cgnt →
CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.	B-	70/100	8.2x	79.8%	24.2%	+1.13%	$690.7M	/ccsi-vs-cgnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001824814

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) reported GAAP revenue of $400.0M (+14.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $350.6M , and +27.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$638.0K, operating cash flow of $40.3M, and free cash flow of $29.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CGNT closed FY2025 with $521.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.09, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$400.0M	-$638.0K	$40.3M	$29.9M	$521.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$350.6M	-$12.1M	$46.8M	$36.2M	$497.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$313.4M	-$15.6M	$34.6M	$34.6M	—	—

3. CGNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CGNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cognyte Software Ltd. (NASDAQ: CGNT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $9.79 (-1.66% 1D, market cap $723.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CGNT ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CGNT compare to DCBO and SPT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CGNT carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.4%, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, DCBO (Docebo Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $735.2M) and SPT (Sprout Social Inc (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.7%, cap $740.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGNT?

Per CGNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001824814), Cognyte Software Ltd. generated $400.0M in revenue (+14.1% YoY), -$638.0K in net income, and $29.9M in free cash flow against $521.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CGNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CGNT last traded at $9.79 (-1.66% on volume of 643,463 shares), positioning the stock +11.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.76) and +10.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.83). Across its 52-week range of $6.29 to $12.31, CGNT sits at the 58.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($8.87 to $10.71).

CGNT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CGNT stock right now?

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CGNT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CGNT's 12-month base price target is $9.66 (range $7.53 to $12.93), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CGNT RQD Cockpit CGNT 12M Forecast CGNT Earnings & Move CGNT Dividends & DRIP CGNT Insiders & 13F CGNT Whale Options CGNT Profit Sankey CGNT News & Why