Stock Ratings / Technology / CGNT / earnings

DCBO (50) SPT (42) VTEX (63) CCSI (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.4% Move

$9.79 -1.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.74

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $723.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.74 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 7.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CGNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CGNT SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.09 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$8.81-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$8.61+13.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$9.76+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$9.79-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CGNT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CGNT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 69.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.76) or 200D SMA ($8.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.66) toward Bear Floor ($7.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CGNT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CGNT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.4% Swing Band

±$0.92 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CGNT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.1%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$400.0M	-$638.0K	$29.9M	72.4%
FY 2024	2025-01-31	$350.6M	-$12.1M	$36.2M	70.4%
FY 2023	2024-01-31	$313.4M	-$15.6M	$34.6M	72.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CGNT)

✓Walkthrough of CGNT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CGNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $9.71H $9.81L $9.31C $9.79VOL 670.9K

RES: $10.54SUP: $7.77SMA50: $8.76SMA200: $8.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CGNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CGNT Butterfly Map → + Track CGNT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CGNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CGNT)

Technology Rank #336 of 714 ⚔️ DCBO vs CGNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CGNT vs. DCBO, SPT, VTEX, CCSI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) ranks #336 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #392 by equity capitalization ($723.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CGNT at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CGNT ACTIVE Cognyte Software Ltd.	D+	55/100	—	72.4%	11.7%	-1.66%	$723.5M	Benchmark Subject
DCBO Docebo Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-0.79%	$735.2M	/dcbo-vs-cgnt →
SPT Sprout Social Inc (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	77.6%	-31.7%	-2.40%	$740.4M	/spt-vs-cgnt →
VTEX VTEX (Class A)	C	63/100	34.8x	77.5%	6.6%	+4.40%	$697.2M	/vtex-vs-cgnt →
CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.	B-	70/100	8.2x	79.8%	24.2%	+1.13%	$690.7M	/ccsi-vs-cgnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001824814

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) reported GAAP revenue of $400.0M (+14.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $350.6M , and +27.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$638.0K, operating cash flow of $40.3M, and free cash flow of $29.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CGNT closed FY2025 with $521.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.09, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$400.0M	-$638.0K	$40.3M	$29.9M	$521.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$350.6M	-$12.1M	$46.8M	$36.2M	$497.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$313.4M	-$15.6M	$34.6M	$34.6M	—	—

3. CGNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CGNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cognyte Software Ltd. (NASDAQ: CGNT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $9.79 (-1.66% 1D, market cap $723.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CGNT ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CGNT compare to DCBO and SPT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CGNT carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.4%, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, DCBO (Docebo Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $735.2M) and SPT (Sprout Social Inc (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.7%, cap $740.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGNT?

Per CGNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001824814), Cognyte Software Ltd. generated $400.0M in revenue (+14.1% YoY), -$638.0K in net income, and $29.9M in free cash flow against $521.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CGNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CGNT last traded at $9.79 (-1.66% on volume of 643,463 shares), positioning the stock +11.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.76) and +10.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.83). Across its 52-week range of $6.29 to $12.31, CGNT sits at the 58.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($8.87 to $10.71).

CGNT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CGNT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is CGNT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.4% event move for CGNT, spanning a range between $8.87 and $10.71.

Direct Sub-Reports: CGNT RQD Cockpit CGNT 12M Forecast CGNT Earnings & Move CGNT Dividends & DRIP CGNT Insiders & 13F CGNT Whale Options CGNT Profit Sankey CGNT News & Why