Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.44 -0.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.43

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $656.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MOMO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MOMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.44 (-0.67% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MOMO ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MOMO compare to CCSI and VTEX in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MOMO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.8%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $690.7M) and VTEX (VTEX (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $697.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOMO?
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Per MOMO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610601), Hello Group Inc. generated $1.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.97B in total assets and $448.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.43 (-0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (3)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$8 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE MOMO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOMO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MOMO SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.7% FCF Margin ($98.8M FCF) & 37.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$4.75-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$4.69-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$4.45-0.2% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$4.44+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MOMO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MOMO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.93) or 200D SMA ($5.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.44) toward Bear Floor ($3.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOMO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MOMO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MOMO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MOMO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MOMO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.73%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $4.47H $4.47L $4.44C $4.44VOL 533.0K
RES: $5.51SUP: $4.41SMA50: $4.93SMA200: $5.81
$7.16$6.40$5.64$4.88$4.12RES $5.51SUP $4.41$4.442026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MOMO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOMO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOMO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOMO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOMO)

Technology Rank #265 of 714 ⚔️ CCSI vs MOMO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MOMO vs. CCSI, VTEX, CGNT, DCBO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) ranks #265 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #398 by equity capitalization ($656.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with MOMO at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MOMO ACTIVE
Hello Group Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 37.8% 18.6% -0.67% $656.0M Benchmark Subject
CCSI
Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.
C+ 69/100 8.2x 79.8% 24.2% +1.13% $690.7M /ccsi-vs-momo →
VTEX
VTEX (Class A)
C+ 66/100 34.8x 77.5% 6.6% +4.40% $697.2M /vtex-vs-momo →
CGNT
Cognyte Software Ltd.
D+ 54/100 — 72.4% 11.7% -1.66% $723.5M /cgnt-vs-momo →
DCBO
Docebo Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — -0.79% $735.2M /dcbo-vs-momo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001610601

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and -12.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $169.2M, and free cash flow of $98.8M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOMO closed FY2025 with $1.97B in total assets against $448.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.48B $0 $169.2M $98.8M $1.97B $448.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.45B $0 $224.7M $185.6M $2.52B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.69B $0 $320.7M $320.7M — —

3. MOMO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MOMO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.44 (-0.67% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MOMO ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MOMO compare to CCSI and VTEX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MOMO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.8%, and ROIC of 18.6%. By comparison, CCSI (Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $690.7M) and VTEX (VTEX (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $697.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOMO?

Per MOMO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610601), Hello Group Inc. generated $1.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.97B in total assets and $448.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MOMO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOMO last traded at $4.44 (-0.67% on volume of 533,026 shares), positioning the stock -9.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.93) and -23.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.81). Across its 52-week range of $4.36 to $7.25, MOMO sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($4.21 to $4.67).

MOMO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does MOMO pay a dividend and is it safe?

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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