Monro Inc. (MNRO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$12.30 -13.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.97

Monro Inc. (MNRO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $384.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.97 (-2.71%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 3.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-
Cash (6)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$25 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE MNRO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MNRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MNRO SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.34 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$13.57+0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$13.64-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$13.23-7% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$12.30-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MNRO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MNRO currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.29) and Max Pain ($12.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.11.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MNRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MNRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MNRO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.30: 813.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.12
$7,415
$-2,585 (-25.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.69
$9,504
$-496 (-5.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $25.11
$20,415
+$10,415 (+104.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MNRO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MNRO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MNRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.95%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.09H $12.30L $11.11C $12.30VOL 2.05M
RES: $14.84SUP: $10.77SMA50: $13.29SMA200: $16.07
$19.19$16.99$14.78$12.58$10.38RES $14.84SUP $10.77$12.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MNRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MNRO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MNRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MNRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MNRO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #707 of 1011 ⚔️ EVGO vs MNRO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MNRO vs. EVGO, GT, DRVN, AZI)

Industry: Automotive Aftermarket (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Monro Inc. (MNRO) ranks #707 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #623 by equity capitalization ($384.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MNRO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DRVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.2% ROIC and — gross margin. AZI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with MNRO at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MNRO ACTIVE
Monro Inc.
D 47/100 — 35.0% 2.5% -13.99% $384.5M Benchmark Subject
EVGO
EVgo Inc. (Class A)
D- 35/100 — 21.0% -35.0% -0.80% $390.0M /evgo-vs-mnro →
GT
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
E 34/100 — 18.4% -35.0% +0.45% $1.28B /gt-vs-mnro →
DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
D- 43/100 — — 7.2% +1.77% $1.99B /drvn-vs-mnro →
AZI
Autozi Internet Technology (Global) Ltd. (Class A)
D 50/100 — 1.8% — +3.85% $55.1M /azi-vs-mnro →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-28 • CIK 0000876427

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-28), Monro Inc. (MNRO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.16B (-3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -9.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.2M, operating cash flow of $70.4M, and free cash flow of $38.8M (-63.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MNRO closed FY2025 with $1.57B in total assets against $45.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-28 $1.16B $2.2M $70.4M $38.8M $1.57B $45.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-29 $1.20B -$5.2M $131.9M $105.5M $1.67B $59.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-30 $1.28B $37.6M $125.2M $125.2M — —

3. MNRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MNRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Monro Inc. (NASDAQ: MNRO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $12.30 (-13.99% 1D, market cap $384.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MNRO ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MNRO compare to EVGO and GT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Automotive Aftermarket), MNRO carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.0%, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, EVGO (EVgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $390.0M) and GT (The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MNRO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DRVN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MNRO?

Per MNRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-28, CIK 0000876427), Monro Inc. generated $1.16B in revenue (-3.2% YoY), $2.2M in net income, and $38.8M in free cash flow against $1.57B in total assets and $45.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MNRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MNRO last traded at $12.30 (-13.99% on volume of 2,115,800 shares), positioning the stock -7.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.29) and -23.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.07). Across its 52-week range of $11.06 to $23.91, MNRO sits at the 9.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($10.98 to $13.62).

MNRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MNRO's 12-month stock price target?

Monro Inc. (MNRO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $11.69 (-5% from $12.30), with a bull-case target of $25.11 and a bear-case floor of $9.12.

Is MNRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MNRO D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 47/100.

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