Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MGRC / dividends

ABM (55) VVX (63) CTOS (61) KFY (72) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$119.60 +0.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $119.52

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.91B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $119.52 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 22.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MGRC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.4% FCF Margin ($211.3M FCF) & 48.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$113.64-0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$113.03+3.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$117.16+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$119.60+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MGRC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, MGRC faces multiple-compression risk if 18.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.75) or 200D SMA ($113.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($123.37) toward Bear Floor ($96.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MGRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

3.44% Total Yield

1.64% Cash ($1.96/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

14.7% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,488

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $670/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.1K

Yr 4

$14.0K

Yr 5

$14.9K

Yr 6

$16.0K

Yr 7

$17.1K

Yr 8

$18.2K

Yr 9

$19.5K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in MGRC & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on MGRC and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MGRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.19%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $119.6H $119.9L $116.6C $119.6VOL 169.6K

RES: $119.7SUP: $112.2SMA50: $113.8SMA200: $114.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MGRC Butterfly Map → + Track MGRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGRC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #279 of 1011 ⚔️ ABM vs MGRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MGRC vs. ABM, VVX, CTOS, KFY)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) ranks #279 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #367 by equity capitalization ($2.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KFY leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while KFY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.2% ROIC and — gross margin. KFY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with MGRC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MGRC ACTIVE McGrath RentCorp	C	65/100	18.6x	48.2%	15.6%	+0.69%	$2.91B	Benchmark Subject
ABM ABM Industries Incorporated	D+	55/100	19.5x	12.3%	7.6%	+1.18%	$3.16B	/abm-vs-mgrc →
VVX V2X Inc.	C	63/100	32.4x	8.3%	7.1%	+4.02%	$2.52B	/vvx-vs-mgrc →
CTOS Custom Truck One Source Inc.	C-	61/100	—	28.5%	4.1%	+1.39%	$2.48B	/ctos-vs-mgrc →
KFY Korn Ferry	B	72/100	14.8x	—	20.2%	+0.98%	$4.14B	/kfy-vs-mgrc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000752714

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) reported GAAP revenue of $944.2M (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $910.9M , and +13.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $156.3M, operating cash flow of $255.7M, and free cash flow of $211.3M (-36.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGRC closed FY2025 with $2.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.96, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$944.2M	$156.3M	$255.7M	$211.3M	$2.36B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$910.9M	$231.7M	$374.4M	$334.1M	$2.28B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$831.8M	$174.6M	$95.3M	$95.3M	—	—

3. MGRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, McGrath RentCorp (NASDAQ: MGRC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $119.60 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGRC ranks #279 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGRC compare to ABM and VVX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), MGRC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ABM (ABM Industries Incorporated) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 7.6%, cap $3.16B) and VVX (V2X Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while KFY leads on capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGRC?

Per MGRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000752714), McGrath RentCorp generated $944.2M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $156.3M in net income, and $211.3M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (48% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGRC last traded at $119.60 (+0.69% on volume of 310,396 shares), positioning the stock +5.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($113.75) and +4.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($113.99). Across its 52-week range of $94.99 to $125.83, MGRC sits at the 79.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($113.38 to $125.82).

MGRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does MGRC pay a dividend and is it safe?

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) offers a 1.64% cash dividend yield ($1.96 annualized) and 3.44% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: MGRC RQD Cockpit MGRC 12M Forecast MGRC Earnings & Move MGRC Dividends & DRIP MGRC Insiders & 13F MGRC Whale Options MGRC Profit Sankey MGRC News & Why