Stock Ratings / Materials / KOP / options

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Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$41.86 -0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.74

Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $791.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.74 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 3.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KOP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KOP SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($67.5M FCF) & 23.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$43.41-0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$43.32-7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$40.18+4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$41.86+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KOP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, KOP faces multiple-compression risk if 14.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.82) or 200D SMA ($41.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.24) toward Bear Floor ($32.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KOP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KOP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KOP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KOP.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KOP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KOP
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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KOP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $41.71H $42.00L $40.92C $41.86VOL 107.6K

RES: $59.49SUP: $38.84SMA50: $44.82SMA200: $41.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KOP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KOP Butterfly Map → + Track KOP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KOP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KOP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KOP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KOP)

Materials Rank #60 of 270 ⚔️ UFPI vs KOP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (KOP vs. UFPI, LPX, TREX, FBIN)

Industry: Forest Products (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #150 by equity capitalization ($791.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while TREX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 39.2% gross margin. TREX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with KOP at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KOP ACTIVE Koppers Holdings Inc.	C-	60/100	14.1x	23.8%	8.9%	-0.52%	$791.6M	Benchmark Subject
UFPI UFP Industries Inc.	C+	67/100	15.3x	16.8%	12.1%	+4.13%	$4.50B	/ufpi-vs-kop →
LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation	D+	58/100	35.2x	21.8%	9.2%	+4.85%	$5.14B	/lpx-vs-kop →
TREX Trex Company Inc.	B+	78/100	27.2x	39.2%	16.9%	+2.64%	$5.18B	/trex-vs-kop →
FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.	C	62/100	13.1x	44.6%	8.7%	+4.75%	$5.27B	/fbin-vs-kop →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001315257

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.88B (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.09B , and -12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.0M, operating cash flow of $122.5M, and free cash flow of $67.5M (+60.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, KOP closed FY2025 with $1.89B in total assets against $914.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.88B	$56.0M	$122.5M	$67.5M	$1.89B	$914.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.09B	$52.4M	$119.4M	$42.0M	$1.89B	$925.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.15B	$89.2M	$146.1M	$146.1M	—	—

3. KOP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Koppers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KOP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $41.86 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $791.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KOP ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KOP compare to UFPI and LPX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Forest Products), KOP carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.1x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, UFPI (UFP Industries Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 12.1%, cap $4.50B) and LPX (Louisiana-Pacific Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $5.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBIN leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TREX leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOP?

Per KOP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001315257), Koppers Holdings Inc. generated $1.88B in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $56.0M in net income, and $67.5M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $914.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KOP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KOP last traded at $41.86 (-0.52% on volume of 101,675 shares), positioning the stock -6.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($44.82) and +0.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.55). Across its 52-week range of $25.00 to $53.00, KOP sits at the 60.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($38.97 to $44.75).