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JELD-WEN Holding Inc. (JELD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.36 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.36

JELD-WEN Holding Inc. (JELD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $118.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.36 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JELD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JELD SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.54-10.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.38-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.37-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.36-10% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JELD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JELD currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.82) and Max Pain ($1.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JELD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JELD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

37.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.73>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.36H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on JELD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (20)

-35.0% ROIC with 16.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 0.73 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (32)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like JELD

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JELD)

✓Walkthrough of JELD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JELD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.73%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.34H $1.38L $1.25C $1.36VOL 549.3K

RES: $2.79SUP: $1.23SMA50: $1.82SMA200: $1.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JELD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JELD Butterfly Map → + Track JELD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JELD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JELD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JELD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JELD)

Materials Rank #262 of 270 ⚔️ KOP vs JELD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (JELD vs. KOP, UFPI, LPX, TREX)

Industry: Forest Products (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, JELD-WEN Holding Inc. (JELD) ranks #262 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #226 by equity capitalization ($118.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KOP leads on earnings valuation at 14.1x trailing P/E, while TREX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 39.2% gross margin. TREX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with JELD at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JELD ACTIVE JELD-WEN Holding Inc.	E	28/100	—	16.0%	-35.0%	0.00%	$118.0M	Benchmark Subject
KOP Koppers Holdings Inc.	C-	60/100	14.1x	23.8%	8.9%	-0.52%	$791.6M	/kop-vs-jeld →
UFPI UFP Industries Inc.	C+	67/100	15.3x	16.8%	12.1%	+4.13%	$4.50B	/ufpi-vs-jeld →
LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation	D+	58/100	35.2x	21.8%	9.2%	+4.85%	$5.14B	/lpx-vs-jeld →
TREX Trex Company Inc.	B+	78/100	27.2x	39.2%	16.9%	+2.64%	$5.18B	/trex-vs-jeld →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001674335

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), JELD-WEN Holding Inc. (JELD) reported GAAP revenue of $3.21B (-14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.78B , and -25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$621.2M, operating cash flow of -$4.9M, and free cash flow of -$124.6M (-123.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, JELD closed FY2025 with $2.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.73, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.21B	-$621.2M	-$4.9M	-$124.6M	$2.10B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.78B	-$189.0M	$106.2M	-$55.7M	$2.62B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.30B	$62.4M	$345.2M	$345.2M	—	—

3. JELD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JELD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, JELD-WEN Holding Inc. (NYSE: JELD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.36 (0.00% 1D, market cap $118.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, JELD ranks #262 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JELD compare to KOP and UFPI in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Forest Products), JELD carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KOP (Koppers Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $791.6M) and UFPI (UFP Industries Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 12.1%, cap $4.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KOP leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while TREX leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JELD?

Per JELD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674335), JELD-WEN Holding Inc. generated $3.21B in revenue (-14.9% YoY), -$621.2M in net income, and -$124.6M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JELD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JELD last traded at $1.36 (0.00% on volume of 626,193 shares), positioning the stock -25.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.82) and -22.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.75). Across its 52-week range of $0.93 to $4.39, JELD sits at the 12.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.19 to $1.53).

JELD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell JELD stock right now?

JELD-WEN Holding Inc. (JELD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 28/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is JELD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

JELD's 12-month base price target is $1.18 (range $0.92 to $4.61), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: JELD RQD Cockpit JELD 12M Forecast JELD Earnings & Move JELD Dividends & DRIP JELD Insiders & 13F JELD Whale Options JELD Profit Sankey JELD News & Why