RISK WATCHYahoo • 1d ago
Mattel and 4 More Stocks See Action From Activist InvestorsActivists also report to the SEC on Empire State Realty Trust, Dole, Koppers Holdings, and Elastic.
Why KOP Stock slipped -0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$41.86 -0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.74
Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $791.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.74 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KOP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KOP SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($67.5M FCF) & 23.8% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$43.41-0.2% Next Q
68
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$43.32-7.2% Next Q
65
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$40.18+4.2% Next Q
63
CurrentGrade C-$41.86+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KOP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, KOP faces multiple-compression risk if 14.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.82) or 200D SMA ($41.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.24) toward Bear Floor ($32.95).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KOP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KOP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why KOP Stock slipped -0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) slipped -0.52% to $41.86, trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($25 – $53). Solid 24% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($25 – $53) with RSI-14 at 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $41.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 23.8% gross margin and $67.5M annual free cash flow.
Live KOP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Koppers Holdings Inc. Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Conference CallKoppers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KOP), an integrated global provider of treated wood products, wood treatment chemicals, and carbon compounds, today announced that the company plans to release its financial results for the t
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KOP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
KOP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $41.71H $42.00L $40.92C $41.86VOL 107.6K
RES: $59.49SUP: $38.84SMA50: $44.82SMA200: $41.55
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
KOP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KOP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KOP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KOP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KOP)
Materials Rank #60 of 270
⚔️ UFPI vs KOP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (KOP vs. UFPI, LPX, TREX, FBIN)
Industry: Forest Products (7 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #150 by equity capitalization ($791.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while TREX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 39.2% gross margin. TREX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with KOP at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOP
ACTIVE
Koppers Holdings Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 14.1x | 23.8% | 8.9% | -0.52% | $791.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| UFPI UFP Industries Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 15.3x | 16.8% | 12.1% | +4.13% | $4.50B | /ufpi-vs-kop → |
| LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 35.2x | 21.8% | 9.2% | +4.85% | $5.14B | /lpx-vs-kop → |
| TREX Trex Company Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 27.2x | 39.2% | 16.9% | +2.64% | $5.18B | /trex-vs-kop → |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. | C | 62/100 | 13.1x | 44.6% | 8.7% | +4.75% | $5.27B | /fbin-vs-kop → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001315257In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.88B (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.09B , and -12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.0M, operating cash flow of $122.5M, and free cash flow of $67.5M (+60.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, KOP closed FY2025 with $1.89B in total assets against $914.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.88B | $56.0M | $122.5M | $67.5M | $1.89B | $914.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.09B | $52.4M | $119.4M | $42.0M | $1.89B | $925.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.15B | $89.2M | $146.1M | $146.1M | — | — |
3. KOP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Koppers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KOP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $41.86 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $791.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KOP ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KOP compare to UFPI and LPX in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Forest Products), KOP carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.1x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, UFPI (UFP Industries Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 12.1%, cap $4.50B) and LPX (Louisiana-Pacific Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $5.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBIN leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TREX leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOP?
Per KOP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001315257), Koppers Holdings Inc. generated $1.88B in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $56.0M in net income, and $67.5M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $914.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KOP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KOP last traded at $41.86 (-0.52% on volume of 101,675 shares), positioning the stock -6.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($44.82) and +0.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.55). Across its 52-week range of $25.00 to $53.00, KOP sits at the 60.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($38.97 to $44.75).
KOP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is KOP stock moving today?
Why KOP Stock slipped -0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 24% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.