Stock Ratings / Materials / KOP / earnings

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Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.9% Move

$41.86 -0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.74

Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $791.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KOP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Koppers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KOP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $41.86 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $791.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KOP ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KOP compare to UFPI and LPX in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Forest Products), KOP carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.1x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, UFPI (UFP Industries Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 12.1%, cap $4.50B) and LPX (Louisiana-Pacific Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $5.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBIN leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TREX leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOP?

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Per KOP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001315257), Koppers Holdings Inc. generated $1.88B in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $56.0M in net income, and $67.5M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $914.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.74 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 3.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KOP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KOP SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($67.5M FCF) & 23.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$43.41-0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$43.32-7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$40.18+4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$41.86+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KOP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, KOP faces multiple-compression risk if 14.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.82) or 200D SMA ($41.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.24) toward Bear Floor ($32.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KOP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KOP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.9% Swing Band

±$2.89 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KOP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 60/100

Trailing EPS: $2.96 • YoY Revenue Growth: -10.2%

Model Bullish Setup (60/100)Model Risk Weight (40/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.88B	$56.0M	$67.5M	23.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.09B	$52.4M	$42.0M	20.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.15B	$89.2M	$146.1M	23.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KOP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KOP
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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KOP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $41.71H $42.00L $40.92C $41.86VOL 107.6K

RES: $59.49SUP: $38.84SMA50: $44.82SMA200: $41.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KOP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KOP Butterfly Map → + Track KOP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KOP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KOP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KOP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KOP)

Materials Rank #60 of 270 ⚔️ UFPI vs KOP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (KOP vs. UFPI, LPX, TREX, FBIN)

Industry: Forest Products (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #150 by equity capitalization ($791.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while TREX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 39.2% gross margin. TREX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with KOP at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KOP ACTIVE Koppers Holdings Inc.	C-	60/100	14.1x	23.8%	8.9%	-0.52%	$791.6M	Benchmark Subject
UFPI UFP Industries Inc.	C+	67/100	15.3x	16.8%	12.1%	+4.13%	$4.50B	/ufpi-vs-kop →
LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation	D+	58/100	35.2x	21.8%	9.2%	+4.85%	$5.14B	/lpx-vs-kop →
TREX Trex Company Inc.	B+	78/100	27.2x	39.2%	16.9%	+2.64%	$5.18B	/trex-vs-kop →
FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.	C	62/100	13.1x	44.6%	8.7%	+4.75%	$5.27B	/fbin-vs-kop →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001315257

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.88B (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.09B , and -12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.0M, operating cash flow of $122.5M, and free cash flow of $67.5M (+60.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, KOP closed FY2025 with $1.89B in total assets against $914.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.88B	$56.0M	$122.5M	$67.5M	$1.89B	$914.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.09B	$52.4M	$119.4M	$42.0M	$1.89B	$925.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.15B	$89.2M	$146.1M	$146.1M	—	—

3. KOP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KOP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KOP compare to UFPI and LPX in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOP?

Where is KOP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KOP last traded at $41.86 (-0.52% on volume of 101,675 shares), positioning the stock -6.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($44.82) and +0.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.55). Across its 52-week range of $25.00 to $53.00, KOP sits at the 60.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($38.97 to $44.75).