Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ICFI / insiders

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ICF International Inc. (ICFI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$95.84 +1.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.29

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ICFI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ICFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, ICF International Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $95.84 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICFI ranks #94 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICFI compare to NSP and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ICFI carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 37.2%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, NSP (Insperity Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.9%, cap $1.77B) and ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFOR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICFI?

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Per ICFI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362004), ICF International Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (-7.3% YoY), $92.0M in net income, and $141.9M in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $401.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.28 (+0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICFI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ICFI SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$87.73+0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$88.46+8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$95.54+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B$95.84+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ICFI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, ICFI faces multiple-compression risk if 18.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.97) or 200D SMA ($78.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($102.31) toward Bear Floor ($78.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICFI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ICFI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ICFI Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ICFI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ICFI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ICFI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ICFI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.54%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $94.66H $95.84L $94.66C $95.84VOL 104.2K

RES: $114.7SUP: $83.39SMA50: $87.97SMA200: $78.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICFI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ICFI Butterfly Map → + Track ICFI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICFI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICFI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICFI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICFI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #94 of 1011 ⚔️ NSP vs ICFI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ICFI vs. NSP, ASTH, AMN, EFOR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ICF International Inc. (ICFI) ranks #94 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #437 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFOR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ICFI ACTIVE ICF International Inc.	B	73/100	18.7x	37.2%	8.1%	+1.25%	$1.72B	Benchmark Subject
NSP Insperity Inc.	E	28/100	—	13.2%	-8.9%	-10.38%	$1.77B	/nsp-vs-icfi →
ASTH Astrana Health Inc.	D+	57/100	75.7x	—	4.6%	-0.14%	$1.82B	/asth-vs-icfi →
AMN AMN Healthcare Services Inc	D+	56/100	—	28.3%	-7.2%	+0.47%	$1.82B	/amn-vs-icfi →
EFOR Everforth Inc.	B-	71/100	13.4x	28.9%	6.5%	-4.47%	$1.52B	/efor-vs-icfi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362004

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ICF International Inc. (ICFI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (-7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.02B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $92.0M, operating cash flow of $141.9M, and free cash flow of $141.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICFI closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $401.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.87B	$92.0M	$141.9M	$141.9M	$2.05B	$401.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.02B	$110.0M	$171.5M	$171.5M	$2.07B	$411.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.96B	$83.0M	$152.4M	$152.4M	—	—

3. ICFI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ICFI compare to NSP and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICFI?

Where is ICFI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICFI last traded at $95.84 (+1.25% on volume of 104,183 shares), positioning the stock +8.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.97) and +21.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.83). Across its 52-week range of $58.83 to $98.03, ICFI sits at the 94.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($90.19 to $101.49).

ICFI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ICFI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ICFI leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: ICFI RQD Cockpit ICFI 12M Forecast ICFI Earnings & Move ICFI Dividends & DRIP ICFI Insiders & 13F ICFI Whale Options ICFI Profit Sankey ICFI News & Why