ICF International Inc. (ICFI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$95.84 +1.25% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.29

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $1.72B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.28 (+0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$120 Bull$101 Base$79 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ICFI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICFI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ICFI SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 94% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$87.55+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$89.43+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$94.40+1.5% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$95.84+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ICFI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ICFI faces multiple-compression risk if 18.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 34.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.83) or 200D SMA ($78.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($101.45) toward Bear Floor ($78.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICFIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œICFI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.4% Total Yield
0.6% Cash ($0.58/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,740

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $426/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.2K
Yr 2
$11.9K
Yr 3
$12.6K
Yr 4
$13.3K
Yr 5
$14.1K
Yr 6
$14.9K
Yr 7
$15.8K
Yr 8
$16.8K
Yr 9
$17.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ICFI & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ICFI and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ICFI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.74%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $95.75H $97.97L $93.88C $95.84VOL 261.3K
RES: $114.4SUP: $83.27SMA50: $87.83SMA200: $78.84
$100.7$89.36$78.01$66.66$55.31RES $114.4SUP $83.27$95.842026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICFI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICFI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICFI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICFI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICFI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #159 of 1011 βš”οΈ NSP vs ICFI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ICFI vs. NSP, ASTH, AMN, EFOR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ICF International Inc. (ICFI) ranks #159 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #437 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFOR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICFI ACTIVE
ICF International Inc.
B- 71/100 18.7x 37.2% 8.1% +1.25% $1.72B Benchmark Subject
NSP
Insperity Inc.
E 20/100 β€” 13.2% -8.9% -10.38% $1.77B /nsp-vs-icfi β†’
ASTH
Astrana Health Inc.
D+ 58/100 75.7x β€” 4.6% -0.14% $1.82B /asth-vs-icfi β†’
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services Inc
D+ 53/100 β€” 28.3% -7.2% +0.47% $1.82B /amn-vs-icfi β†’
EFOR
Everforth Inc.
C+ 68/100 13.4x 28.9% 6.5% -4.47% $1.52B /efor-vs-icfi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001362004

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ICF International Inc. (ICFI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (-7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.02B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $92.0M, operating cash flow of $141.9M, and free cash flow of $141.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICFI closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $401.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.87B $92.0M $141.9M $141.9M $2.05B $401.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.02B $110.0M $171.5M $171.5M $2.07B $411.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.96B $83.0M $152.4M $152.4M β€” β€”

3. ICFI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ICF International Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $95.84 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICFI ranks #159 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICFI compare to NSP and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ICFI carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 37.2%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, NSP (Insperity Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.9%, cap $1.77B) and ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFOR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICFI?

Per ICFI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362004), ICF International Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (-7.3% YoY), $92.0M in net income, and $141.9M in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $401.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICFI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICFI last traded at $95.84 (+1.25% on volume of 104,183 shares), positioning the stock +9.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.83) and +21.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.84). Across its 52-week range of $58.83 to $98.03, ICFI sits at the 94.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.1% ($89.99 to $101.69).

ICFI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does ICFI pay a dividend and is it safe?

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) offers a 0.6% cash dividend yield ($0.58 annualized) and 2.4% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

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