Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ICFI / financials

NSP (20) ASTH (58) AMN (53) EFOR (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$95.84 +1.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.29

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.28 (+0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICFI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ICFI SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$87.55+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$89.43+5.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$94.40+1.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$95.84+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ICFI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ICFI faces multiple-compression risk if 18.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.83) or 200D SMA ($78.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($101.45) toward Bear Floor ($78.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICFI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ICFI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ICFI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$141.9M (7.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.96B

FY24

Rev $2.02B

FY25

Rev $1.87B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.87B	37.2%	7.8%	$92.0M	$141.9M	8.1%
FY 2024	$2.02B	36.5%	8.2%	$110.0M	$171.5M	9.4%
FY 2023	$1.96B	37.2%	6.7%	$83.0M	$152.4M	8.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICFI)

✓Walkthrough of ICFI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ICFI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.74%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $95.75H $97.97L $93.88C $95.84VOL 261.3K

RES: $114.4SUP: $83.27SMA50: $87.83SMA200: $78.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICFI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ICFI Butterfly Map → + Track ICFI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICFI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICFI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICFI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICFI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #159 of 1011 ⚔️ NSP vs ICFI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ICFI vs. NSP, ASTH, AMN, EFOR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ICF International Inc. (ICFI) ranks #159 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #437 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFOR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ICFI ACTIVE ICF International Inc.	B-	71/100	18.7x	37.2%	8.1%	+1.25%	$1.72B	Benchmark Subject
NSP Insperity Inc.	E	20/100	—	13.2%	-8.9%	-10.38%	$1.77B	/nsp-vs-icfi →
ASTH Astrana Health Inc.	D+	58/100	75.7x	—	4.6%	-0.14%	$1.82B	/asth-vs-icfi →
AMN AMN Healthcare Services Inc	D+	53/100	—	28.3%	-7.2%	+0.47%	$1.82B	/amn-vs-icfi →
EFOR Everforth Inc.	C+	68/100	13.4x	28.9%	6.5%	-4.47%	$1.52B	/efor-vs-icfi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362004

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ICF International Inc. (ICFI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (-7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.02B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $92.0M, operating cash flow of $141.9M, and free cash flow of $141.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICFI closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $401.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.87B	$92.0M	$141.9M	$141.9M	$2.05B	$401.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.02B	$110.0M	$171.5M	$171.5M	$2.07B	$411.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.96B	$83.0M	$152.4M	$152.4M	—	—

3. ICFI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ICF International Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $95.84 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICFI ranks #159 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICFI compare to NSP and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ICFI carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 37.2%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, NSP (Insperity Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.9%, cap $1.77B) and ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFOR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICFI?

Per ICFI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362004), ICF International Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (-7.3% YoY), $92.0M in net income, and $141.9M in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $401.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICFI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICFI last traded at $95.84 (+1.25% on volume of 104,183 shares), positioning the stock +9.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.83) and +21.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.84). Across its 52-week range of $58.83 to $98.03, ICFI sits at the 94.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($89.99 to $101.69).

ICFI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is ICF International Inc. (ICFI)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ICFI converted $1.9B of revenue into a 37.2% gross margin, 7.8% operating margin, and $141.9M in free cash flow (7.6% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ICFI RQD Cockpit ICFI 12M Forecast ICFI Earnings & Move ICFI Dividends & DRIP ICFI Insiders & 13F ICFI Whale Options ICFI Profit Sankey ICFI News & Why