Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ICFI / earnings

NSP (20) ASTH (58) AMN (53) EFOR (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.1% Move

$95.84 +1.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.29

ICF International Inc. (ICFI) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.28 (+0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICFI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ICFI SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$87.55+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$89.43+5.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$94.40+1.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$95.84+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ICFI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ICFI faces multiple-compression risk if 18.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.83) or 200D SMA ($78.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($101.45) toward Bear Floor ($78.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICFI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ICFI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.1% Swing Band

±$5.85 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ICFI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $5.13 • YoY Revenue Growth: -7.3%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.87B	$92.0M	$141.9M	37.2%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.02B	$110.0M	$171.5M	36.5%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.96B	$83.0M	$152.4M	37.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ICFI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ICFI
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ICFI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.74%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $95.75H $97.97L $93.88C $95.84VOL 261.3K

RES: $114.4SUP: $83.27SMA50: $87.83SMA200: $78.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICFI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ICFI Butterfly Map → + Track ICFI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICFI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICFI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICFI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICFI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #159 of 1011 ⚔️ NSP vs ICFI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ICFI vs. NSP, ASTH, AMN, EFOR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ICF International Inc. (ICFI) ranks #159 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #437 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFOR leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ICFI ACTIVE ICF International Inc.	B-	71/100	18.7x	37.2%	8.1%	+1.25%	$1.72B	Benchmark Subject
NSP Insperity Inc.	E	20/100	—	13.2%	-8.9%	-10.38%	$1.77B	/nsp-vs-icfi →
ASTH Astrana Health Inc.	D+	58/100	75.7x	—	4.6%	-0.14%	$1.82B	/asth-vs-icfi →
AMN AMN Healthcare Services Inc	D+	53/100	—	28.3%	-7.2%	+0.47%	$1.82B	/amn-vs-icfi →
EFOR Everforth Inc.	C+	68/100	13.4x	28.9%	6.5%	-4.47%	$1.52B	/efor-vs-icfi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362004

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ICF International Inc. (ICFI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (-7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.02B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $92.0M, operating cash flow of $141.9M, and free cash flow of $141.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICFI closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $401.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.87B	$92.0M	$141.9M	$141.9M	$2.05B	$401.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.02B	$110.0M	$171.5M	$171.5M	$2.07B	$411.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.96B	$83.0M	$152.4M	$152.4M	—	—

3. ICFI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ICF International Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $95.84 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ICFI ranks #159 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICFI compare to NSP and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), ICFI carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 37.2%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, NSP (Insperity Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.9%, cap $1.77B) and ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFOR leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICFI?

Per ICFI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362004), ICF International Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (-7.3% YoY), $92.0M in net income, and $141.9M in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $401.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICFI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICFI last traded at $95.84 (+1.25% on volume of 104,183 shares), positioning the stock +9.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.83) and +21.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.84). Across its 52-week range of $58.83 to $98.03, ICFI sits at the 94.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($89.99 to $101.69).

ICFI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ICFI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, ICF International Inc. (ICFI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ICFI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.1% event move for ICFI, spanning a range between $89.99 and $101.69.

Direct Sub-Reports: ICFI RQD Cockpit ICFI 12M Forecast ICFI Earnings & Move ICFI Dividends & DRIP ICFI Insiders & 13F ICFI Whale Options ICFI Profit Sankey ICFI News & Why