MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 3d ago
Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And MoreDiscover 12 undercovered stocks with actionable investment theses, fresh catalysts, and income ideas.
Why IAUX Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.47 -3.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.46
i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $1.27B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IAUX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, i-80 Gold Corp. (NYSE: IAUX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.47 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IAUX ranks #264 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does IAUX compare to VZLA and ELE in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), IAUX carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of -25.8%. By comparison, VZLA (Vizsla Silver Corp.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.17B) and ELE (Elemental Royalty Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IAUX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IAUX?
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Per IAUX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853962), i-80 Gold Corp. generated $95.2M in revenue (+89.1% YoY), -$198.8M in net income, and -$93.2M in free cash flow against $703.4M in total assets and $97.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.46 (-0.78%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IAUX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IAUX SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (30% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$1.59-4.4% Next Q
35
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.52-4.6% Next Q
32
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$1.45+1.4% Next Q
30
CurrentGrade E$1.47-10.3% Hist 90D α
27
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IAUX Turnaround Squeeze
While IAUX currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.66) and Max Pain ($1.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.35.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IAUX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IAUX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IAUX Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) dropped -3.29% to $1.47, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($0.89 – $2.24). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-26% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($0.89 – $2.24) with RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.6% around $1.47 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 12.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live IAUX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
SVTNF: Initiating Coverage of Lodestar Metals Corp. - Modest Footprint, Big Neighbours: Gold Run Maiden Drilling Confirms Multi-Style Gold-Silver System in NevadaBy Ronald Wortel, MBA, P. Eng. TSXV: LSTR | OTCQB: SVTNF READ THE FULL SVTNF RESEARCH REPORT SPONSORED BY LODESTAR METALS CORP. Lodestar Metals Corp. (TSXV: LSTR; OTCQB: SVTNF) is a Nevada-focused junior explorer whose m
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
What Does i-80 Gold (TSX:IAU) Prioritizing Mineral Point Mean For Its Nevada Plan?i-80 Gold (TSX:IAU) has outlined an updated Nevada development plan that prioritizes the Mineral Point open pit for major advancement. Management reports considerable progress on refurbishing key assets, including the Lo
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
i-80 Gold Announces Details for Q3 2026 Results Release and Conference Calli-80 GOLD CORP. (NYSE:IAUX) (TSX:IAU) ("i-80 Gold" or the "Company") is scheduled to release its financial and operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026, on Monday, November 2, 2026, after
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IAUX)
- ✓Walkthrough of IAUX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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IAUX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.00%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $1.44H $1.47L $1.35C $1.47VOL 8.94M
RES: $2.14SUP: $1.76SMA50: $1.66SMA200: $1.61
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IAUX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +89.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IAUX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IAUX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IAUX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IAUX)
Materials Rank #264 of 270
⚔️ VZLA vs IAUX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IAUX vs. VZLA, ELE, HYMC, NEWP)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) ranks #264 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #125 by equity capitalization ($1.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IAUX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IAUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.8% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. VZLA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with IAUX at 27/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAUX
ACTIVE
i-80 Gold Corp. | E | 27/100 | — | 12.1% | -25.8% | -3.29% | $1.27B | Benchmark Subject |
| VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +0.92% | $1.17B | /vzla-vs-iaux → |
| ELE Elemental Royalty Corporation | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -4.78% | $1.10B | /ele-vs-iaux → |
| HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.97% | $1.61B | /hymc-vs-iaux → |
| NEWP New Pacific Metals Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -5.32% | $989.0M | /newp-vs-iaux → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853962In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) reported GAAP revenue of $95.2M (+89.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.3M , and +73.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$198.8M, operating cash flow of -$83.6M, and free cash flow of -$93.2M (-10.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, IAUX closed FY2025 with $703.4M in total assets against $97.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $95.2M | -$198.8M | -$83.6M | -$93.2M | $703.4M | $97.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $50.3M | -$121.5M | -$82.5M | -$84.5M | $655.6M | $153.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $54.9M | -$89.7M | -$77.5M | -$77.5M | — | — |
3. IAUX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, i-80 Gold Corp. (NYSE: IAUX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.47 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IAUX ranks #264 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IAUX compare to VZLA and ELE in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), IAUX carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of -25.8%. By comparison, VZLA (Vizsla Silver Corp.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.17B) and ELE (Elemental Royalty Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IAUX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IAUX?
Per IAUX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853962), i-80 Gold Corp. generated $95.2M in revenue (+89.1% YoY), -$198.8M in net income, and -$93.2M in free cash flow against $703.4M in total assets and $97.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IAUX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IAUX last traded at $1.47 (-3.29% on volume of 3,071,178 shares), positioning the stock -11.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.66) and -8.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $0.89 to $2.24, IAUX sits at the 43.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($1.33 to $1.61).
IAUX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IAUX stock moving today?
Why IAUX Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-26% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.