i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.47 -3.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.46

i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.46 (-0.78%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (6)SEC (5)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE IAUX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IAUX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IAUX SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$1.59-4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$1.52-4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$1.45+1.4% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$1.47-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IAUX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IAUX currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.66) and Max Pain ($1.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IAUX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IAUX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

IAUX Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (IAUX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on IAUX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IAUX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IAUX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IAUX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.00%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $1.44H $1.47L $1.35C $1.47VOL 8.94M
RES: $2.14SUP: $1.76SMA50: $1.66SMA200: $1.61
$1.99$1.79$1.58$1.38$1.18RES $2.14SUP $1.76$1.472026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IAUX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +89.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IAUX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IAUX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IAUX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IAUX)

Materials Rank #264 of 270 ⚔️ VZLA vs IAUX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IAUX vs. VZLA, ELE, HYMC, NEWP)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) ranks #264 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #125 by equity capitalization ($1.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IAUX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IAUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.8% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. VZLA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with IAUX at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IAUX ACTIVE
i-80 Gold Corp.
E 27/100 — 12.1% -25.8% -3.29% $1.27B Benchmark Subject
VZLA
Vizsla Silver Corp.
C 62/100 — — — +0.92% $1.17B /vzla-vs-iaux →
ELE
Elemental Royalty Corporation
D 48/100 — — — -4.78% $1.10B /ele-vs-iaux →
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% -0.97% $1.61B /hymc-vs-iaux →
NEWP
New Pacific Metals Corp.
D 50/100 — — — -5.32% $989.0M /newp-vs-iaux →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853962

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) reported GAAP revenue of $95.2M (+89.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.3M , and +73.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$198.8M, operating cash flow of -$83.6M, and free cash flow of -$93.2M (-10.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, IAUX closed FY2025 with $703.4M in total assets against $97.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $95.2M -$198.8M -$83.6M -$93.2M $703.4M $97.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $50.3M -$121.5M -$82.5M -$84.5M $655.6M $153.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $54.9M -$89.7M -$77.5M -$77.5M — —

3. IAUX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, i-80 Gold Corp. (NYSE: IAUX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.47 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IAUX ranks #264 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IAUX compare to VZLA and ELE in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), IAUX carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of -25.8%. By comparison, VZLA (Vizsla Silver Corp.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.17B) and ELE (Elemental Royalty Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IAUX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IAUX?

Per IAUX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853962), i-80 Gold Corp. generated $95.2M in revenue (+89.1% YoY), -$198.8M in net income, and -$93.2M in free cash flow against $703.4M in total assets and $97.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IAUX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IAUX last traded at $1.47 (-3.29% on volume of 3,071,178 shares), positioning the stock -11.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.66) and -8.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $0.89 to $2.24, IAUX sits at the 43.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($1.33 to $1.61).

IAUX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are IAUX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies IAUX leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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