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Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.27 -0.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.21

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.61B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.21 (-0.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HYMC SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$19.19-10.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$17.17-10.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$15.44+11.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$17.27-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYMC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HYMC currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.18) and Max Pain ($18.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $61.67.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYMC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HYMC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

40.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE

L: $7$17.27H: $59

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on HYMC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (20)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -5.18% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HYMC

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYMC)

✓Walkthrough of HYMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HYMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $16.06H $17.27L $15.80C $17.27VOL 2.30M

RES: $24.14SUP: $14.70SMA50: $20.18SMA200: $30.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HYMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HYMC Butterfly Map → + Track HYMC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYMC)

Materials Rank #211 of 270 ⚔️ SVM vs HYMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (HYMC vs. SVM, SSMR, SIND, IAUX)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #119 by equity capitalization ($1.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HYMC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IAUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.8% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. SIND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with HYMC at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HYMC ACTIVE Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.97%	$1.61B	Benchmark Subject
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-3.60%	$1.84B	/svm-vs-hymc →
SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.65%	$1.90B	/ssmr-vs-hymc →
SIND Sinda Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+4.33%	$1.91B	/sind-vs-hymc →
IAUX i-80 Gold Corp.	E	27/100	—	12.1%	-25.8%	-3.29%	$1.27B	/iaux-vs-hymc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001718405

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$40.7M, operating cash flow of -$82.9M, and free cash flow of -$83.4M (-124.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYMC closed FY2025 with $263.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$40.7M	-$82.9M	-$83.4M	$263.0M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$60.9M	-$35.9M	-$37.1M	$140.1M	$124.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$55.0M	-$41.4M	-$41.4M	—	—

3. HYMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HYMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: HYMC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $17.27 (-0.97% 1D, market cap $1.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HYMC ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HYMC compare to SVM and SSMR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), HYMC carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.84B) and SSMR (Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HYMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYMC?

Per HYMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718405), Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$40.7M in net income, and -$83.4M in free cash flow against $263.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HYMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HYMC last traded at $17.27 (-0.97% on volume of 1,681,996 shares), positioning the stock -14.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.18) and -42.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.05). Across its 52-week range of $7.07 to $58.73, HYMC sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($15.11 to $19.43).

HYMC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HYMC stock right now?

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 41/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is HYMC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HYMC's 12-month base price target is $15.95 (range $12.44 to $61.67), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: HYMC RQD Cockpit HYMC 12M Forecast HYMC Earnings & Move HYMC Dividends & DRIP HYMC Insiders & 13F HYMC Whale Options HYMC Profit Sankey HYMC News & Why