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Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$13.24 -2.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.15

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.90B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SSMR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SSMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (NYSE: SSMR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $13.24 (-2.65% 1D, market cap $1.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SSMR compare to SIND and SVM in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), SSMR carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SIND (Sinda Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.91B) and SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSMR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HYMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SSMR?

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Per SSMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002091017), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $68.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.15 (-0.67%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SSMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SSMR SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.3% FCF Margin ($53.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$14.57-20.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$11.60+12.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$13.09+1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$13.24-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SSMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SSMR currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.37) and Max Pain ($13.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SSMR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SSMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

45.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE23% OF RANGE

L: $11$13.24H: $20

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SSMR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SSMR

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SSMR)

✓Walkthrough of SSMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

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SSMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $13.60H $13.60L $13.24C $13.24VOL 1.01M

RES: $23.31SUP: $11.25SMA50: $15.37SMA200: $14.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SSMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SSMR Butterfly Map → + Track SSMR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SSMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SSMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SSMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SSMR)

Materials Rank #184 of 270 ⚔️ SIND vs SSMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SSMR vs. SIND, SVM, DRD, HYMC)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #116 by equity capitalization ($1.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSMR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HYMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. DRD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with SSMR at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SSMR ACTIVE Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-2.65%	$1.90B	Benchmark Subject
SIND Sinda Ltd.	D	44/100	—	—	—	+4.33%	$1.91B	/sind-vs-ssmr →
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-3.60%	$1.84B	/svm-vs-ssmr →
DRD DRDGOLD Limited	D	47/100	—	—	—	-3.38%	$2.11B	/drd-vs-ssmr →
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)	E	30/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.97%	$1.61B	/hymc-vs-ssmr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002091017

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SSMR closed FY2025 with $68.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$68.8M	—

3. SSMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SSMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SSMR compare to SIND and SVM in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SSMR?

Where is SSMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SSMR last traded at $13.24 (-2.65% on volume of 1,013,850 shares), positioning the stock -13.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.37) and -11.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.97). Across its 52-week range of $11.38 to $19.61, SSMR sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.58 to $14.90).

SSMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SSMR stock right now?

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 43/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SSMR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SSMR's 12-month base price target is $12.35 (range $9.63 to $20.59), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SSMR RQD Cockpit SSMR 12M Forecast SSMR Earnings & Move SSMR Dividends & DRIP SSMR Insiders & 13F SSMR Whale Options SSMR Profit Sankey SSMR News & Why