Stock Ratings / Materials / SSMR / forecast

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Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$13.24 -2.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.15

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.90B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.15 (-0.67%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SSMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SSMR SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$14.89-22.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$11.58+14.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$13.23+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$13.24-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SSMR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, SSMR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.48) or 200D SMA ($14.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.12) toward Bear Floor ($10.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SSMR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SSMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SSMR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $13.24: 755.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.23

$7,727

$-2,273 (-22.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.12

$9,909

$-91 (-0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $20.59

$15,551

+$5,551 (+55.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$14	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$19	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$12	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SSMR)

✓Walkthrough of SSMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SSMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $12.45H $13.24L $12.06C $13.24VOL 2.97M

RES: $23.24SUP: $11.26SMA50: $15.48SMA200: $14.98

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SSMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SSMR Butterfly Map → + Track SSMR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SSMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SSMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SSMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SSMR)

Materials Rank #98 of 270 ⚔️ SIND vs SSMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SSMR vs. SIND, SVM, DRD, HYMC)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) ranks #98 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #116 by equity capitalization ($1.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSMR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HYMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SIND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with SSMR at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SSMR ACTIVE Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.65%	$1.90B	Benchmark Subject
SIND Sinda Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+4.33%	$1.91B	/sind-vs-ssmr →
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-3.60%	$1.84B	/svm-vs-ssmr →
DRD DRDGOLD Limited	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.38%	$2.11B	/drd-vs-ssmr →
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.97%	$1.61B	/hymc-vs-ssmr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002091017

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SSMR closed FY2025 with $68.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$68.8M	—

3. SSMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SSMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (NYSE: SSMR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $13.24 (-2.65% 1D, market cap $1.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SSMR ranks #98 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SSMR compare to SIND and SVM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), SSMR carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SIND (Sinda Ltd.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.91B) and SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSMR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HYMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SSMR?

Per SSMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002091017), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $68.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SSMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SSMR last traded at $13.24 (-2.65% on volume of 1,013,850 shares), positioning the stock -14.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.48) and -11.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.98). Across its 52-week range of $11.38 to $19.61, SSMR sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.58 to $14.90).

SSMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SSMR's 12-month stock price target?

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.12 (-0.9% from $13.24), with a bull-case target of $20.59 and a bear-case floor of $10.23.

Is SSMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SSMR D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 56/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: SSMR RQD Cockpit SSMR 12M Forecast SSMR Earnings & Move SSMR Dividends & DRIP SSMR Insiders & 13F SSMR Whale Options SSMR Profit Sankey SSMR News & Why