DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$24.28 -3.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.09

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.11B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.09 (-0.80%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$41 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE DRD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DRD SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 24% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$24.87+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$25.13-4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$23.97+1.3% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$24.28-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DRD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, DRD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.06) or 200D SMA ($27.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.06) toward Bear Floor ($18.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
36.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE24% OF RANGE
L: $19$24.28H: $39
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on DRD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DRD
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DRD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.60%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $23.12H $24.28L $22.32C $24.28VOL 312.9K
RES: $31.49SUP: $24.32SMA50: $26.06SMA200: $27.54
$32.24$28.78$25.32$21.86$18.40RES $31.49SUP $24.32$24.282026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRD)

Materials Rank #97 of 270 ⚔️ PPTA vs DRD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (DRD vs. PPTA, EXK, SIND, SSMR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #110 by equity capitalization ($2.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DRD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PPTA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. EXK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with DRD at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DRD ACTIVE
DRDGOLD Limited
D+ 56/100 — — — -3.38% $2.11B Benchmark Subject
PPTA
Perpetua Resources Corp.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -2.64% $2.26B /ppta-vs-drd →
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)
C- 59/100 — — — -2.63% $2.30B /exk-vs-drd →
SIND
Sinda Ltd.
C- 59/100 — — — +4.33% $1.91B /sind-vs-drd →
SSMR
Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company
D+ 56/100 — — — -2.65% $1.90B /ssmr-vs-drd →

2. DRD Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $2.11B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. DRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, DRDGOLD Limited (NYSE: DRD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $24.28 (-3.38% 1D, market cap $2.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DRD ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRD compare to PPTA and EXK in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), DRD carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PPTA (Perpetua Resources Corp.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.26B) and EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PPTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRD?

For DRDGOLD Limited (DRD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #97 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRD last traded at $24.28 (-3.38% on volume of 173,444 shares), positioning the stock -6.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.06) and -11.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.54). Across its 52-week range of $19.47 to $39.37, DRD sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($22.92 to $25.64).

DRD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DRD stock right now?

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DRD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DRD's 12-month base price target is $24.06 (range $18.77 to $41.34), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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