Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 67.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GRNT faces multiple-compression risk if 31.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.04) or 200D SMA ($5.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.76) toward Bear Floor ($4.49).
Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) slipped -0.34% to $5.79, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($4.18 – $6.15). Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Investors can certainly boost their returns by concentrating on stocks trading between $1 and $10. However, a disciplined approach is necessary because many of these businesses are speculative and lack the underlying fun
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) shares have started gaining and might continue moving higher in the near term, as indicated by solid earnings estimate revisions.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRNT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #146 by equity capitalization ($763.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while WHK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT
ACTIVE
Granite Ridge Resources Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 31.3x | — | 3.8% | -0.34% | $763.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| VTS Vitesse Energy Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 30.5x | — | 2.2% | +0.11% | $770.5M | /vts-vs-grnt → |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -0.93% | $779.4M | /obe-vs-grnt → |
| WHK WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | 7.4% | -2.26% | $802.5M | /whk-vs-grnt → |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -1.64% | $702.2M | /gprk-vs-grnt → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) reported GAAP revenue of $450.3M (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $380.0M , and +14.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.4M, operating cash flow of $296.4M, and free cash flow of $296.4M (+7.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRNT closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $367.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.34, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $450.3M | $24.4M | $296.4M | $296.4M | $1.17B | $367.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $380.0M | $18.8M | $275.7M | $275.7M | $1.04B | $205.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $394.1M | $81.1M | $302.9M | $302.9M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (NYSE: GRNT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $5.79 (-0.34% 1D, market cap $763.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GRNT ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GRNT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, VTS (Vitesse Energy Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC 2.2%, cap $770.5M) and OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while WHK leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).
Per GRNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001928446), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. generated $450.3M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $24.4M in net income, and $296.4M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $367.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
GRNT last traded at $5.79 (-0.34% on volume of 937,209 shares), positioning the stock +14.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.04) and +13.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.08). Across its 52-week range of $4.18 to $6.15, GRNT sits at the 81.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($5.32 to $6.26).
Why GRNT Stock slipped -0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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