Stock Ratings / Energy / GRNT / dividends

VTS (61) OBE (59) WHK (51) GPRK (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$5.79 -0.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78

Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $763.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GRNT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GRNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (NYSE: GRNT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $5.79 (-0.34% 1D, market cap $763.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GRNT ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GRNT compare to VTS and OBE in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GRNT carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, VTS (Vitesse Energy Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC 2.2%, cap $770.5M) and OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while WHK leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRNT?

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Per GRNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001928446), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. generated $450.3M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $24.4M in net income, and $296.4M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $367.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78 (-0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 65.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GRNT SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 10.3% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$4.81+17.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$5.67+4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$5.91-2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$5.79+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRNT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, GRNT faces multiple-compression risk if 31.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.06) or 200D SMA ($5.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.87) toward Bear Floor ($4.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRNT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GRNT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

9.35% Total Yield

7.55% Cash ($0.44/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (19.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $59,385

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $5,553/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.9K

Yr 1

$14.3K

Yr 2

$17.1K

Yr 3

$20.4K

Yr 4

$24.4K

Yr 5

$29.1K

Yr 6

$34.8K

Yr 7

$41.6K

Yr 8

$49.7K

Yr 9

$59.4K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in GRNT & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on GRNT and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GRNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $5.81H $5.81L $5.79C $5.79VOL 937.2K

RES: $6.04SUP: $4.24SMA50: $5.06SMA200: $5.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GRNT Butterfly Map → + Track GRNT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

24.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRNT)

Energy Rank #95 of 211 ⚔️ VTS vs GRNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GRNT vs. VTS, OBE, WHK, GPRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) ranks #95 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #146 by equity capitalization ($763.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while WHK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GRNT ACTIVE Granite Ridge Resources Inc.	C-	61/100	31.3x	—	3.8%	-0.34%	$763.7M	Benchmark Subject
VTS Vitesse Energy Inc.	C-	61/100	30.5x	—	2.2%	+0.11%	$770.5M	/vts-vs-grnt →
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-0.93%	$779.4M	/obe-vs-grnt →
WHK WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	7.4%	-2.26%	$802.5M	/whk-vs-grnt →
GPRK Geopark Ltd	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-1.64%	$702.2M	/gprk-vs-grnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001928446

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) reported GAAP revenue of $450.3M (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $380.0M , and +14.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.4M, operating cash flow of $296.4M, and free cash flow of $296.4M (+7.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRNT closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $367.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.34, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$450.3M	$24.4M	$296.4M	$296.4M	$1.17B	$367.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$380.0M	$18.8M	$275.7M	$275.7M	$1.04B	$205.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$394.1M	$81.1M	$302.9M	$302.9M	—	—

3. GRNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GRNT compare to VTS and OBE in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRNT?

Where is GRNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRNT last traded at $5.79 (-0.34% on volume of 937,209 shares), positioning the stock +14.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.06) and +13.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.08). Across its 52-week range of $4.18 to $6.14, GRNT sits at the 82.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($5.34 to $6.24).

GRNT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does GRNT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) offers a 7.55% cash dividend yield ($0.44 annualized) and 9.35% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: GRNT RQD Cockpit GRNT 12M Forecast GRNT Earnings & Move GRNT Dividends & DRIP GRNT Insiders & 13F GRNT Whale Options GRNT Profit Sankey GRNT News & Why