Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.6% Move

$13.62 -0.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $954.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$21 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.6% Swing Band

±$1.17 Expected Swing
$12.45 (-8.6%)Spot $13.62$14.79 (+8.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GPRE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 16%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$189.0M-$121.3M$73.7M72.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$163.0M-$82.5M-$125.0M80%
FY 20232023-12-31$136.3M-$93.4M$56.3M72.5%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPRE)

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GPRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $13.81H $14.36L $13.62C $13.62VOL 1.05M
RES: $15.37SUP: $13.36SMA50: $14.77SMA200: $15.25
$20.22$17.85$15.49$13.12$10.76RES $15.37SUP $13.36$13.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPRE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPRE)

Materials Rank #180 of 270 ⚔️ FTK vs GPRE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GPRE vs. FTK, KRO, ECVT, LXU)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($954.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FTK leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. LXU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with GPRE at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPRE ACTIVE
Green Plains Inc.
D 48/100 — 72.5% -5.6% -0.73% $954.7M Benchmark Subject
FTK
Flotek Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 30.5x 25.2% 17.1% -1.53% $930.1M /ftk-vs-gpre →
KRO
Kronos Worldwide Inc
E 34/100 — 11.5% -2.3% -3.25% $857.5M /kro-vs-gpre →
ECVT
Ecovyst Inc.
C- 61/100 — 21.8% 6.4% +0.49% $1.12B /ecvt-vs-gpre →
LXU
LSB Industries Inc.
C+ 68/100 32.5x 17.0% 4.8% +8.07% $800.6M /lxu-vs-gpre →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001309402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) reported GAAP revenue of $189.0M (+16.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $163.0M , and +38.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$121.3M, operating cash flow of $110.9M, and free cash flow of $73.7M (+158.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPRE closed FY2025 with $1.58B in total assets against $362.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $189.0M -$121.3M $110.9M $73.7M $1.58B $362.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $163.0M -$82.5M -$30.0M -$125.0M $1.78B $432.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $136.3M -$93.4M $56.3M $56.3M — —

3. GPRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ: GPRE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $13.62 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $954.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GPRE ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPRE compare to FTK and KRO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), GPRE carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.5%, and ROIC of -5.6%. By comparison, FTK (Flotek Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC 17.1%, cap $930.1M) and KRO (Kronos Worldwide Inc) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.3%, cap $857.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPRE?

Per GPRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001309402), Green Plains Inc. generated $189.0M in revenue (+16.0% YoY), -$121.3M in net income, and $73.7M in free cash flow against $1.58B in total assets and $362.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPRE last traded at $13.62 (-0.73% on volume of 959,097 shares), positioning the stock -7.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.77) and -10.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.25). Across its 52-week range of $9.29 to $19.65, GPRE sits at the 41.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($12.45 to $14.79).

GPRE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GPRE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Green Plains Inc. (GPRE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is GPRE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.6% event move for GPRE, spanning a range between $12.45 and $14.79.

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