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Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$13.62 -0.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $954.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

45.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.49>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE42% OF RANGE

L: $9$13.62H: $20

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GPRE

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

-5.6% ROIC with 72.5% gross margin and 7.72% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.49 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GPRE

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPRE)

✓Walkthrough of GPRE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GPRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $13.81H $14.36L $13.62C $13.62VOL 1.05M

RES: $15.37SUP: $13.36SMA50: $14.77SMA200: $15.25

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GPRE Butterfly Map → + Track GPRE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPRE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPRE)

Materials Rank #180 of 270 ⚔️ FTK vs GPRE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GPRE vs. FTK, KRO, ECVT, LXU)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($954.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FTK leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. LXU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with GPRE at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GPRE ACTIVE Green Plains Inc.	D	48/100	—	72.5%	-5.6%	-0.73%	$954.7M	Benchmark Subject
FTK Flotek Industries Inc.	D+	56/100	30.5x	25.2%	17.1%	-1.53%	$930.1M	/ftk-vs-gpre →
KRO Kronos Worldwide Inc	E	34/100	—	11.5%	-2.3%	-3.25%	$857.5M	/kro-vs-gpre →
ECVT Ecovyst Inc.	C-	61/100	—	21.8%	6.4%	+0.49%	$1.12B	/ecvt-vs-gpre →
LXU LSB Industries Inc.	C+	68/100	32.5x	17.0%	4.8%	+8.07%	$800.6M	/lxu-vs-gpre →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001309402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) reported GAAP revenue of $189.0M (+16.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $163.0M , and +38.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$121.3M, operating cash flow of $110.9M, and free cash flow of $73.7M (+158.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPRE closed FY2025 with $1.58B in total assets against $362.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$189.0M	-$121.3M	$110.9M	$73.7M	$1.58B	$362.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$163.0M	-$82.5M	-$30.0M	-$125.0M	$1.78B	$432.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$136.3M	-$93.4M	$56.3M	$56.3M	—	—

3. GPRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ: GPRE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $13.62 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $954.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GPRE ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPRE compare to FTK and KRO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), GPRE carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.5%, and ROIC of -5.6%. By comparison, FTK (Flotek Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC 17.1%, cap $930.1M) and KRO (Kronos Worldwide Inc) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.3%, cap $857.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPRE?

Per GPRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001309402), Green Plains Inc. generated $189.0M in revenue (+16.0% YoY), -$121.3M in net income, and $73.7M in free cash flow against $1.58B in total assets and $362.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPRE last traded at $13.62 (-0.73% on volume of 959,097 shares), positioning the stock -7.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.77) and -10.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.25). Across its 52-week range of $9.29 to $19.65, GPRE sits at the 41.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($12.45 to $14.79).

GPRE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GPRE stock right now?

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GPRE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GPRE's 12-month base price target is $13.01 (range $10.15 to $20.63), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: GPRE RQD Cockpit GPRE 12M Forecast GPRE Earnings & Move GPRE Dividends & DRIP GPRE Insiders & 13F GPRE Whale Options GPRE Profit Sankey GPRE News & Why