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LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.12 +8.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.26

LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $800.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.26 (+1.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LXU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LXU SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.3% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$9.81+8.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$10.63-7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$9.89+12.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$11.12+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LXU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, LXU faces multiple-compression risk if 32.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.55) or 200D SMA ($11.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.62) toward Bear Floor ($9.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LXU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LXU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

66.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE33% OF RANGE

L: $8$11.12H: $17

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on LXU

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

4.8% ROIC with 17.0% gross margin and 2.26% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (70)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LXU

✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LXU Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LXU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.37%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $11.27H $11.76L $11.12C $11.12VOL 1.31M

RES: $11.63SUP: $9.35SMA50: $10.55SMA200: $11.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LXU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LXU Butterfly Map → + Track LXU →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LXU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LXU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LXU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LXU)

Materials Rank #23 of 270 ⚔️ KRO vs LXU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LXU vs. KRO, FMC, FTK, GPRE)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #149 by equity capitalization ($800.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FTK leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. LXU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LXU ACTIVE LSB Industries Inc.	C+	68/100	32.5x	17.0%	4.8%	+8.07%	$800.6M	Benchmark Subject
KRO Kronos Worldwide Inc	E	34/100	—	11.5%	-2.3%	-3.25%	$857.5M	/kro-vs-lxu →
FMC FMC Corporation	D	45/100	—	37.0%	-30.2%	+6.26%	$738.9M	/fmc-vs-lxu →
FTK Flotek Industries Inc.	D+	56/100	30.5x	25.2%	17.1%	-1.53%	$930.1M	/ftk-vs-lxu →
GPRE Green Plains Inc.	D	48/100	—	72.5%	-5.6%	-0.73%	$954.7M	/gpre-vs-lxu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000060714

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) reported GAAP revenue of $615.2M (+17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $522.4M , and +3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.6M, operating cash flow of $95.5M, and free cash flow of $18.1M (+415.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LXU closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $440.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$615.2M	$24.6M	$95.5M	$18.1M	$1.17B	$440.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$522.4M	-$19.4M	$86.6M	-$5.7M	$1.19B	$476.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$593.7M	$27.9M	$137.5M	$137.5M	—	—

3. LXU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LXU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LSB Industries Inc. (NYSE: LXU) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $11.12 (+8.07% 1D, market cap $800.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LXU ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LXU compare to KRO and FMC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LXU carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.5x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 4.8%. By comparison, KRO (Kronos Worldwide Inc) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.3%, cap $857.5M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $738.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LXU?

Per LXU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000060714), LSB Industries Inc. generated $615.2M in revenue (+17.8% YoY), $24.6M in net income, and $18.1M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $440.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LXU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LXU last traded at $11.12 (+8.07% on volume of 1,603,210 shares), positioning the stock +5.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.55) and -5.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.79). Across its 52-week range of $8.12 to $17.22, LXU sits at the 33.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($10.03 to $12.21).

LXU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LXU stock right now?

LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 17% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is LXU's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LXU's 12-month base price target is $11.62 (range $9.06 to $18.08), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: LXU RQD Cockpit LXU 12M Forecast LXU Earnings & Move LXU Dividends & DRIP LXU Insiders & 13F LXU Whale Options LXU Profit Sankey LXU News & Why