LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$11.12 +8.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.26

LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $800.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.26 (+1.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (15)SEC (15)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$18 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE LXU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LXU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LXU SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.3% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$9.81+8.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$10.63-7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$9.89+12.4% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$11.12+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LXU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, LXU faces multiple-compression risk if 32.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.55) or 200D SMA ($11.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.62) toward Bear Floor ($9.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LXU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LXU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (11.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $29,967

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $539/yr
$11.2K
Yr 1
$12.5K
Yr 2
$13.9K
Yr 3
$15.5K
Yr 4
$17.3K
Yr 5
$19.3K
Yr 6
$21.6K
Yr 7
$24.1K
Yr 8
$26.9K
Yr 9
$30.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in LXU & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on LXU and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LXU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.37%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $11.27H $11.76L $11.12C $11.12VOL 1.31M
RES: $11.63SUP: $9.35SMA50: $10.55SMA200: $11.79
$15.96$14.17$12.39$10.60$8.82RES $11.63SUP $9.35$11.122026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LXU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LXU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LXU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LXU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LXU)

Materials Rank #23 of 270 ⚔️ KRO vs LXU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LXU vs. KRO, FMC, FTK, GPRE)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #149 by equity capitalization ($800.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FTK leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. LXU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LXU ACTIVE
LSB Industries Inc.
C+ 68/100 32.5x 17.0% 4.8% +8.07% $800.6M Benchmark Subject
KRO
Kronos Worldwide Inc
E 34/100 — 11.5% -2.3% -3.25% $857.5M /kro-vs-lxu →
FMC
FMC Corporation
D 45/100 — 37.0% -30.2% +6.26% $738.9M /fmc-vs-lxu →
FTK
Flotek Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 30.5x 25.2% 17.1% -1.53% $930.1M /ftk-vs-lxu →
GPRE
Green Plains Inc.
D 48/100 — 72.5% -5.6% -0.73% $954.7M /gpre-vs-lxu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000060714

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) reported GAAP revenue of $615.2M (+17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $522.4M , and +3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.6M, operating cash flow of $95.5M, and free cash flow of $18.1M (+415.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LXU closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $440.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $615.2M $24.6M $95.5M $18.1M $1.17B $440.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $522.4M -$19.4M $86.6M -$5.7M $1.19B $476.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $593.7M $27.9M $137.5M $137.5M — —

3. LXU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LXU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LSB Industries Inc. (NYSE: LXU) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $11.12 (+8.07% 1D, market cap $800.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LXU ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LXU compare to KRO and FMC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LXU carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.5x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 4.8%. By comparison, KRO (Kronos Worldwide Inc) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.3%, cap $857.5M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $738.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LXU?

Per LXU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000060714), LSB Industries Inc. generated $615.2M in revenue (+17.8% YoY), $24.6M in net income, and $18.1M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $440.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LXU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LXU last traded at $11.12 (+8.07% on volume of 1,603,210 shares), positioning the stock +5.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.55) and -5.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.79). Across its 52-week range of $8.12 to $17.22, LXU sits at the 33.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($10.03 to $12.21).

LXU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does LXU pay a dividend and is it safe?

LSB Industries Inc. (LXU) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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