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Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$19.17 +1.05% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.17

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $428.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GLAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Gladstone Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: GLAD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $19.17 (+1.05% 1D, market cap $428.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GLAD ranks #766 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GLAD compare to CSWC and UFI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Textiles), GLAD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, CSWC (Capital Southwest Corporation) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.44B) and UFI (Unifi Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $109.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GLAD leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CSWC leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLAD?
β–Ό

Per GLAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001143513), Gladstone Capital Corporation generated $387.6M in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $57.2M in net income, and -$5.5M in free cash flow against $922.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.17 (+0.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (3)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$23 Bull$17 Base$14 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GLAD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GLAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GLAD SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 1/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$19.01-2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$18.47+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$18.58+3.2% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$19.17-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (29) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GLAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GLAD currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.24) and Max Pain ($20.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.82.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GLADβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGLAD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±4.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GLAD)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GLAD.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GLAD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GLAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GLAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.98%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $19.13H $19.17L $18.97C $19.17VOL 165.4K
RES: $20.35SUP: $18.12SMA50: $19.24SMA200: $19.07
$21.37$20.50$19.63$18.76$17.89RES $20.35SUP $18.12$19.172026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GLAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-6.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GLAD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GLAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GLAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GLAD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #766 of 1009 βš”οΈ CSWC vs GLAD Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GLAD vs. CSWC, UFI, AIN, CULP)

Industry: Textiles (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) ranks #766 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #599 by equity capitalization ($428.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GLAD leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while CSWC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. UFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with GLAD at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GLAD ACTIVE
Gladstone Capital Corporation
D- 37/100 7.6x β€” 12.0% +1.05% $428.6M Benchmark Subject
CSWC
Capital Southwest Corporation
D- 38/100 10.7x β€” 13.6% +1.12% $1.44B /cswc-vs-glad β†’
UFI
Unifi Inc.
D+ 55/100 β€” 5.7% -5.8% -1.36% $109.7M /ufi-vs-glad β†’
AIN
Albany International Corporation
D 50/100 β€” 20.6% -2.7% +9.66% $1.90B /ain-vs-glad β†’
CULP
Culp Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 12.4% -14.0% +3.17% $44.2M /culp-vs-glad β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0001143513 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) reported GAAP revenue of $387.6M (+13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $342.6M , and +101.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $57.2M, operating cash flow of -$5.5M, and free cash flow of -$5.5M (-269.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GLAD closed FY2025 with $922.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $387.6M $57.2M -$5.5M -$5.5M $922.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $342.6M $94.5M $3.2M $3.2M $815.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $192.0M $42.7M -$10.9M -$10.9M β€” β€”

3. GLAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GLAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gladstone Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: GLAD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $19.17 (+1.05% 1D, market cap $428.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GLAD ranks #766 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GLAD compare to CSWC and UFI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Textiles), GLAD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, CSWC (Capital Southwest Corporation) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.44B) and UFI (Unifi Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $109.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GLAD leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CSWC leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLAD?

Per GLAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001143513), Gladstone Capital Corporation generated $387.6M in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $57.2M in net income, and -$5.5M in free cash flow against $922.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GLAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GLAD last traded at $19.17 (+1.05% on volume of 127,052 shares), positioning the stock -0.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.24) and +0.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.07). Across its 52-week range of $16.54 to $21.73, GLAD sits at the 50.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.2% ($18.36 to $19.98).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GLAD β€” Gladstone Capital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.17 (+1.05% 1D, market capitalization $428.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of -1.27%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Textiles industry. Market capitalization is listed at $0.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) reported $387.6M in annual revenue (up from $342.6M in FY2024, +13.1% YoY) and $57.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($192.0M revenue, $42.7M net income) through FY2025, GLAD scaled operating cash flow to -$5.5M and free cash flow to -$5.5M, backed by $922.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.27% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.54 – $21.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 7.6x trailing P/E against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be traced from this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can GLAD sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against Textiles peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $387.6M and free cash flow of -$5.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GLAD's 7.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GLAD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GLAD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GLAD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $19.17?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GLAD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GLAD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.52 (+24.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Trailing P/E of 7.6 and a 12% ROIC indicate the stock trades at a low multiple relative to the returns on capital the company reports.

Here is why I am bullish on GLAD here at $18.97: Trailing P/E of 7.6 and a 12% ROIC indicate the stock trades at a low multiple relative to the returns on capital the company reports.. Compare GLAD's 0.0% operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against the rest of Textiles. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $18.02 are getting bought.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $18.97 and keeping dry powder in case we test $17.64.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.18 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $18.97

A -1.27% FCF yield and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 show that reported earnings are not converting into free cash flow or strong financia

Careful chasing GLAD at $18.97. A -1.27% FCF yield and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 show that reported earnings are not converting into free cash flow or strong financial quality.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $15.18 on multiple compression.

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